• Builds on the overnight goodish bounce triggered by disappointing US macro data.
• Disappointing Chinese data added to global growth concerns and remained supportive.
• Technical buying further accelerates the up-move and offset some renewed USD strength.
Gold built on the overnight goodish bounce from monthly lows and continued gaining positive traction through the mid-European session on Friday.
The precious metal continued showing some resilience ahead of the key $1300 psychological mark and staged a solid recovery in reaction to shockingly poor US monthly retail sales data for December.
The dismal data reinforced the Fed's cautious stance and took its toll over the US Dollar, which was seen as one of the key factors that triggered some short-covering move around the dollar-denominated commodity.
The positive momentum got an additional boost on Friday amid reviving safe-haven demand following the release of softer Chinese inflation figures, which reinforced concerns over the global economic slowdown.
The positive momentum seemed rather unaffected by some renewed USD strength, with possibilities of some additional short-covering, above the $1315-16 supply zone, providing an additional boost in the last hour or so.
The commodity has now climbed to two-week tops and in absence of any major market moving economic releases, could head further towards challenging multi-month tops, around the $1326 region set on Jan. 31.
Technical levels to watch
XAU/USD
Overview:
Today Last Price: 1318.7
Today Daily change %: 0.47%
Today Daily Open: 1312.5
Trends:
Daily SMA20: 1303.65
Daily SMA50: 1283.74
Daily SMA100: 1253.63
Daily SMA200: 1232.17
Levels:
Previous Daily High: 1314.55
Previous Daily Low: 1303.15
Previous Weekly High: 1322.3
Previous Weekly Low: 1300.1
Previous Monthly High: 1326.25
Previous Monthly Low: 1275.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1310.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1307.5
Daily Pivot Point S1: 1305.58
Daily Pivot Point S2: 1298.67
Daily Pivot Point S3: 1294.18
Daily Pivot Point R1: 1316.98
Daily Pivot Point R2: 1321.47
Daily Pivot Point R3: 1328.38
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
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Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
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Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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