Gold bull case strengthens as US real yields are falling again


  • US 10-year yield has dropped by nine basis points this month. 
  • Gold has gained over 3% this month, currently trades near $1,832.  

The US real or inflation-adjusted yields are falling again and look to be powering gains in gold.

The 10-year real yield fell to -0.98% on Monday, having started the month at -0.89%, according to data provided by the US Department of The Treasury. The nine basis point decline in the US real yield seems to have put a bid under the yellow metal this month. At press time, gold is trading near $1,832 per ounce, representing more than 3% gains on a month-to-date basis. Prices bounced from $1,775 to $1,875 earlier this month. 

A decline in inflation-adjusted yields often bodes well for the store of value assets such as gold. The yellow metal rose sharply from $1,450 to a record high of $2,075 in the five months to Aug. 7, as the real yield collapsed from -0.42% to a lifetime low of -1.08%. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1831.9
Today Daily Change 3.63
Today Daily Change % 0.20
Today daily open 1828.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1835.65
Daily SMA50 1873.27
Daily SMA100 1909.12
Daily SMA200 1810.11
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1841.65
Previous Daily Low 1819.08
Previous Weekly High 1875.34
Previous Weekly Low 1822.22
Previous Monthly High 1965.58
Previous Monthly Low 1764.6
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1827.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1833.03
Daily Pivot Point S1 1817.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 1807.1
Daily Pivot Point S3 1795.11
Daily Pivot Point R1 1840.25
Daily Pivot Point R2 1852.24
Daily Pivot Point R3 1862.82

 

 

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