Gold: A dead cat bounce from 2019 lows?


  • Reverses sharply as risk-off back in vogue on disappointing Eurozone data.
  • Technical set up suggests a minor correction likely in short-term.
  • Focus on US data, US/China trade talks.  

Gold (futures on Comex) staged a sharp $4+ reversal last hour from fresh 2019 lows of 1273.05, as a sudden turnaround in the risk sentiment called on the gold bulls for rescue amid a resurgence of concerns over dwindling Eurozone economic growth, underscored by disappointing German and Eurozone private sector activity report for April.

The recent market optimism fuelled by a positive slew of macro news from the US and China combined with upbeat US corporate earnings was quickly overshadowed by the renewed Euro area growth concerns. Therefore, markets immediately resorted to safety in the traditional safe-haven gold and propelled the prices sharply higher.

Meanwhile, the corrective move higher in the bullion is also chart-driven, as the 4-hour chart pointed to the RSI being in the oversold territory. Therefore, the prices could recover further to the next upside target of 1280 levels (round number).

However, markets view the latest uptick a dead cat bounce, as the Holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund and evidence of investors’ confidence in the yellow metal, still remained around their lowest levels since Oct. 27th.

Further, the daily chart continues to back the ongoing bearish bias (as explained here). Hence, the rates could stall its corrective bounce and resume the downside in the coming days. In the meantime, the commodity traders look forward to the US retails sales, jobless claims and Philly Fed manufacturing index for near-term trading opportunities heading into the long Easter weekend.

Gold Technical Levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1277.60
Today Daily Change 2.10
Today Daily Change % 0.16
Today daily open 1273.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1296.46
Daily SMA50 1304.69
Daily SMA100 1289.5
Daily SMA200 1248.72
Levels
Previous Daily High 1279.7
Previous Daily Low 1272.1
Previous Weekly High 1310.7
Previous Weekly Low 1288.7
Previous Monthly High 1327.8
Previous Monthly Low 1280.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1275
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1276.8
Daily Pivot Point S1 1270.7
Daily Pivot Point S2 1267.6
Daily Pivot Point S3 1263.1
Daily Pivot Point R1 1278.3
Daily Pivot Point R2 1282.8
Daily Pivot Point R3 1285.9

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD appreciates as US Dollar remains subdued after a softer inflation report

AUD/USD appreciates as US Dollar remains subdued after a softer inflation report

The Australian Dollar steadies following two days of gains on Monday as the US Dollar remains subdued following the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data from the United States released on Friday.

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY consolidates around 156.50 area; bullish bias remains

USD/JPY consolidates around 156.50 area; bullish bias remains

USD/JPY holds steady around the mid-156.00s at the start of a new week and for now, seems to have stalled a modest pullback from the 158.00 neighborhood, or over a five-month top touched on Friday. Doubts over when the BoJ could hike rates again and a positive risk tone undermine the safe-haven JPY. 

USD/JPY News
Gold downside bias remains intact while below $2,645

Gold downside bias remains intact while below $2,645

Gold price is looking to extend its recovery from monthly lows into a third day on Monday as buyers hold their grip above the $2,600 mark. However, the further upside appears elusive amid a broad US Dollar bounce and a pause in the decline of US Treasury bond yields.  

Gold News
Week ahead: No festive cheer for the markets after hawkish Fed

Week ahead: No festive cheer for the markets after hawkish Fed

US and Japanese data in focus as markets wind down for Christmas. Gold and stocks bruised by Fed, but can the US dollar extend its gains? Risk of volatility amid thin trading and Treasury auctions.

Read more
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building

Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures