|

GBPJPY collapses on a strong BoJ hint from Nikkei

  • GBP/JPY sells-off on BoJ sentiment ahead of Friday's meeting.
  • GBP/JPY drops into a potentially strong area of support in the 177.70/90s as per the hourly structure.
  • Bears also eye the Point of Control near 177.00 and then a swing support area at 176.50. 

GBP/JPY collapses on a strong hint from Nikkei news that the BoJ will discuss dropping the 0.5% cap in 10Y JGB yields in Friday's meeting. The article has shaken up the sentiment surrounding the Bank of Japan whereby it was otherwise recently telegraphed by the BOJ Governor Ueda that there was "still some distance to sustainably achieve 2% inflation target" and that unless their assumptions on need to sustainably achieve 2% target changes the BoJ's "narrative on monetary policy won't change."

However, that narrative has flipped in New York trade on Thursday and USD/JPY fell from 141.10 to a low of 139.09 when the Nikkei reported '' the Bank of Japan will discuss tweaking its yield curve control policy at a policy board meeting Friday to let long-term interest rates rise beyond its cap of 0.5% by a certain degree, Nikkei has learned, in what would be a shift toward a more flexible policy approach.'' Consequently, GBP/JPY has been dragged deeper below trendline resistance as follows: 

GBP/JPY technical analysis

As can be seen, the price is falling but is leaving an M-pattern on the daily chart. A correction is inevitable but we just don't know when this horse will settle down. 

GBP/JPY H1 chart

We can see a potentially strong area of support in the 177.70/90s as per the hourly structure back in the prior bullish cycle where volumes are starting to deplete. Below there, we have the Point of Control near 177.00 and then a swing support area at 176.50. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold poised to challenge record highs

Gold prices added roughly 3% in the week, flirting with the $4,350 mark on Friday, to finally settle at around $4,330. Despite its safe-haven condition, the bright metal rallied in a risk-on scenario, amid broad US Dollar weakness.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.