|

GBP/USD: Unlikely to break clearly above 1.2475 – UOB Group

Rapid rise has scope to extend, but any advance is unlikely to break clearly above 1.2475. In the longer run, for the time being, GBP is expected to trade in a range of 1.2245/1.2530, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

GBP is expected to trade in a range of 1.2245/1.2530

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, when GBP was at 1.2310, we indicated that ‘while the sharp drop in GBP today has scope to extend, we expect the 1.2245 level to provide support.’ GBP subsequently dropped to 1.2249 and then reversed sharply, soaring to a high of 1.2455. This time around, the rapid rise has scope to extend, but any advance is unlikely to break clearly above 1.2475. The major resistance at 1.2530 is not expected to come under threat. On the downside, support levels are at 1.2380 and 1.2330.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We noted early yesterday (03 Feb, spot at 1.2310) that ‘despite dropping sharply upon opening today, there has been no significant increase in downward momentum.’ However, we were of the view that GBP ‘is likely to trade with a downward bias towards 1.2245.’ GBP subsequently dropped to within a few pips of 1.2245 (low of 1.2249) and then in a sudden move, surged above our ‘strong resistance’ level of 1.2435 (high of 1.2455). Downward momentum has fizzled out, and for the time being, we expect GBP to trade in a range of 1.2245/1.2530.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets

Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,315 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.