GBP/USD slips away from 1.33 as markets recoil on trade war rhetoric


  • Sterling lacks directional strength ahead of Friday's NFP risk event.
  • Limited UK data for Friday's London window leaves plenty of room for market sentiment to set the tone.

The GBP/USD is heading lower ahead of the London market session, and the pair is testing back into 1.3260 with the US Non-Farm Payrolls on the horizon.

Market sentiment couldn't decide what to do with itself this week, with risk assets slumping early in the week following Italy's government spoil that looked set to send Italy heading back to the election polls, but fears resolved themselves when it appeared that Italy may avert a re-election. 

Then US President Donald Trump cooled off a risk recovery on Thursday when it was announced that the US would impose their months-old steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and the EU, three of the US' closest allies and biggest trading partners. Markets recoiled at the news as traders brace for a ramping up of the early stages of a global trade war, with all three of the affected bodies stating their intentions to retaliate with similar tariffs of their own.

With market sentiment souring, the Sterling heads into Friday with only Markit Manufacturing PMIs for May (forecast 53.5, prev. 53.9) on the docket at 08:30 GMT, Followed by the US NFP report at 12:30 GMT. The NFP is expected to come in at 188 thousand, a clip higher than the previous reading of 164 thousand, and y/y Average Hourly Earnings for May are expected to tick up slightly to 2.7%, from 2.6%.

GBP/USD levels to watch

The Sterling's attempts to form up a bullish technical correction appear to be fizzling out quickly, and as FXStreet Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik noted, "the short-term picture for the pair is neutral, as the pair is hovering around a flat 20 SMA, while technical indicators diverge from each other the Momentum heading higher above its mid-line, and the RSI heads lower around 45. The risk remains leaned to the downside despite the ongoing absence of directional strength, with a break now below 1.3245 required to confirm a new leg south."

Support levels: 1.3245 1.3200 1.3160  

Resistance levels: 1.3315 1.3360 1.3400

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD stays in positive territory above 1.0850 after US data

EUR/USD clings to modest daily gains above 1.0850 in the second half of the day on Friday. The improving risk mood makes it difficult for the US Dollar to hold its ground after PCE inflation data, helping the pair edge higher ahead of the weekend.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD stabilizes above 1.2850 as risk mood improves

GBP/USD maintains recovery momentum and fluctuates above 1.2850 in the American session on Friday. The positive shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the US Dollar to preserve its strength and supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Gold rebounds above $2,380 as US yields stretch lower

Following a quiet European session, Gold gathers bullish momentum and trades decisively higher on the day above $2,380. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield loses more than 1% on the day after US PCE inflation data, fuelling XAU/USD's upside.

Gold News

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of key support level

Avalanche price sets for a rally following retest of  key support level

Avalanche (AVAX) price bounced off the $26.34 support level to trade at $27.95 as of Friday. Growing on-chain development activity indicates a potential bullish move in the coming days.

Read more

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

The election, Trump's Dollar policy, and the future of the Yen

After an assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump and drop out of President Biden, Kamala Harris has been endorsed as the Democratic candidate to compete against Trump in the upcoming November US presidential election.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures