|

GBP/USD risks extra pullbacks near term – UOB

Further losses appear in store for GBP/USD in the short-term horizon, suggest Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: Last Friday, we expected GBP to trade in a range of 1.2835/1.2930. However, GBP traded in a lower range of 1.2817/1.2904 before closing slightly lower at 1.2852 (-0.12%). Despite the lower trading range, there is no clear increase in downward momentum. We continue to expect GBP to trade in a range, probably between 1.2815 and 1.2895. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Last Thursday (20 Jul, spot at 1.2935), we highlighted that the decline in GBP had room to extend. However, we indicated that GBP “has to break clearly below 1.2850 before a sustained decline is likely.” After GBP broke below the strong support at 1.2850, we highlighted last Friday (21 Jul, spot at 1.2875) that GBP could drop further. We indicated that there is another solid support at 1.2780. We continue to hold the same view. Overall, only a breach of 1.2960 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 1.3000 last Friday) would indicate that GBP is not weakening further.  

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets

Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,315 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.