|

GBP/USD remains volatile after Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole, stays above 1.1800

  • GBP/USD seesawed in a 1.1820-1.1900 range on Fed’s Powell speech.
  • Fed’s Powell tone was hawkish but cautious, trying not to derail the markets.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rallied towards 1.1900 as Powell ended its speech but has erased those gains.

The GBP/USD seesaws as Fed Chair Powell takes the stand at the Jackson Hole Symposium. During the day, the GBP/USD bounced off a daily low at 1.1775 and rallied sharply to a fresh daily high at 1.1900. However, as Powell finished his speech, the GBP/USD retraced from highs of the days towards the 1.1800 area. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades volatile, around the 1.1810 area.

Fed’s Powell remarks

In his speech, Jerome Powell said that the central bank is moving “purposefully” to a sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% while adding that restoring price stability will take some time, requiring a “forcefully” use of the central bank’s tools.

Powell added that the Federal funds rate at a long-run neutral estimate of 2.25% - 2.50% is “not a place to stop or pause.” He noted that the US central bank would be data-dependent for the September meeting. Even though he mentioned that the Fed will slow the pace of rate hikes, he emphasized that restoring price stability would require keeping a restrictive policy for “some time.”

After Jerome Powell’s remarks, money market futures odds of a Fed 75 bps rate hike increased to 56.5%, vs. 46.5% before the speech. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index recovered some ground after hitting a low at 107.588, recovering the 108.000 figure, but it is still below its opening price.

At the same time, on its final reading, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in at 58.2 vs. forecasts of 55.2. Earlier on Friday, the Fed’s favorite measure for inflation rose 0.1% MoM, vs. 0.3% foreseen, while annually based, core PCE decelerated to 4.6% from 4.7%.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1807
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.1832
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2044
Daily SMA501.2059
Daily SMA1001.2318
Daily SMA2001.2843
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1864
Previous Daily Low1.1784
Previous Weekly High1.2148
Previous Weekly Low1.1792
Previous Monthly High1.2246
Previous Monthly Low1.176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1834
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1815
Daily Pivot Point S11.1789
Daily Pivot Point S21.1746
Daily Pivot Point S31.1709
Daily Pivot Point R11.187
Daily Pivot Point R21.1908
Daily Pivot Point R31.1951

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold recovers above $4,300 as markets react to weak US data

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.