|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Dives below 1.3000 and tests 100-DMA

  • GBP/USD falls 0.15%, decisively breaking below the 1.3000 mark and testing the 100-DMA for the first time since August 2024.
  • Momentum signals bearish control, with the RSI nearing recent lows, potentially pushing the pair toward the 1.2915/20 support zone.
  • A break below 1.2915 could lead to a test of key support at 1.2798, while resistance lies at 1.2990 and the 50-DMA at 1.3135.

The Pound Sterling extended its losses against the US Dollar for two straight days, with sellers clearing the 1.3000 figure decisively, which could pave the way for further downside. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2961, fluctuating around the 100-day moving average (DMA), down 0.15%.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD is testing the 100-DMA for the first time since early August 2024. Although the pair hit a daily low of 1.2944, sellers lacked the strength to push the spot price toward the bottom trendline of an ascending channel.

Momentum shows that sellers are in charge. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is dipping towards its most recent low, which, once broken, would signal bears to exert pressure on the pair.

If GBP/USD presses toward the bottom trendline and clears the support at around 1.2915/20, the exchange rate could likely hit 1.2900. The next key support level would be the confluence of the August 15 low and the 200-DMA at 1.2798

Conversely, if buyers stepped in and push the exchange rate past 1.2990, a move toward 1.3000 is on the cards. The next major resistance is found at the 50-DMA at 1.3135.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.08%0.11%0.09%-0.06%-0.37%-0.28%-0.08%
EUR-0.08% 0.04%0.03%-0.14%-0.47%-0.34%-0.14%
GBP-0.11%-0.04% -0.02%-0.17%-0.50%-0.39%-0.19%
JPY-0.09%-0.03%0.02% -0.14%-0.46%-0.38%-0.17%
CAD0.06%0.14%0.17%0.14% -0.31%-0.22%-0.03%
AUD0.37%0.47%0.50%0.46%0.31% 0.10%0.29%
NZD0.28%0.34%0.39%0.38%0.22%-0.10% 0.20%
CHF0.08%0.14%0.19%0.17%0.03%-0.29%-0.20% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).