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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Vulnerable to further downside below 1.3700

  • GBP/USD struggles to rebound from seven week low.
  • Downbeat RSI, not oversold, joins sustained break of key trend line, SMA to favor sellers.
  • Bulls need fresh monthly high for conviction, 100-day SMA, nine-month-old support line lure bears.

Following its failures to recover from early-February lows, GBP/USD holds lower ground near 1.3690 during Thursday’s Asian session. The cable dropped to the multi-day low the previous day while extending the early week breakdown of 50-day SMA and an ascending support line from January 11, 2021.

Given the downward sloping RSI having a gap to the south before hitting the oversold alarm, the GBP/USD prices suggest further downside.

Hence 100-day SMA level of 1.3622 gains the short-term sellers’ attention ahead of an upward sloping trend line from June 29, 2020, at 1.3551.

It should, however, be noted that the quote’s sustained trading below 1.3550 seems less likely as the RSI might have turned oversold by then and the same can trigger corrective pullback of the quote.

Meanwhile, GBP/USD recovery moves should initially cross the immediate resistance line, previous support near 1.3800 threshold, before confronting the 50-day SMA level of 1.3828.

If at all the sterling buyers manage to cross the 1.3830 hurdle, a monthly top surrounding 1.4020 will be the key to watch.

GBP/USD daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.3687
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00%
Today daily open1.3687
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3896
Daily SMA501.3828
Daily SMA1001.3617
Daily SMA2001.3252
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3759
Previous Daily Low1.3674
Previous Weekly High1.4002
Previous Weekly Low1.3809
Previous Monthly High1.4243
Previous Monthly Low1.3566
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3707
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3727
Daily Pivot Point S11.3655
Daily Pivot Point S21.3622
Daily Pivot Point S31.357
Daily Pivot Point R11.374
Daily Pivot Point R21.3792
Daily Pivot Point R31.3825

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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