|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Recovers above 1.2500 as ‘hammer’ hints buyers in charge

  • GBP/USD has been trading volatile after the BoE’s decision; stands above 1.2500.
  • BoE’s Bailey sounded dovish after stating they would need to lower rates below what’s priced in.
  • Thursday’s price action is forming a ‘hammer,’ hinting further upside is seen.

The Pound Sterling erased some of its earlier losses against the US Dollar and edged up by 0.03% after the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision. The GBP/USD traded at 1.2503 after hitting a low of 1.2445.

Earlier, the BoE held rates unchanged in a 7-2 split vote, with David Ramsden and Swati Dhingra voting for a quarter of a percentage point. After releasing its monetary policy statement, the BoE hosted a press conference. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated the central bank would need to cut rates more than it is currently priced by market rates.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Given the fundamental backdrop, the GBP/USD remains neutral with a downward bias, with the pair failing to crack the 200-day moving average (DMA) decisively. Even though momentum favors sellers, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) being in bearish territory, they would also need to push the exchange rate back below 1.2500.

In that outcome, the GBP/USD next support would be the May 9 low of 1.2445, followed by the 1.2400 figure. Below this level, the next major support level emerges at the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.2299.

It should be said that today’s price action is forming a ‘hammer.’ With that said, if buyers clear the 200-DMA at 1.2542, the next resistance would be the confluence of the May 6 high and the 50-DMA at around 1.2594/1.2600. Once cleared, the 100-DMA at 1.2634 would follow.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2509
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.2498
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2482
Daily SMA501.2604
Daily SMA1001.264
Daily SMA2001.2545
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2516
Previous Daily Low1.2468
Previous Weekly High1.2635
Previous Weekly Low1.2466
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2486
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2497
Daily Pivot Point S11.2472
Daily Pivot Point S21.2446
Daily Pivot Point S31.2424
Daily Pivot Point R11.252
Daily Pivot Point R21.2542
Daily Pivot Point R31.2568

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.