GBP/USD Price Analysis: More downside seems warranted amid a breakdown below 1.2400


  • GBP/USD has delivered a breakdown below 1.2400 as investors get hopeful for a hawkish Fed policy post robust US NFP.
  • Considering the persistence of UK inflation, the BoE might fail to halve inflation by year-end as promised by UK PM Rishi Sunak.
  • GBP/USD witnessed intense selling pressure after failing to surpass the 61.8% Fibo retracement at 1.2583.

The GBP/USD pair has slipped sharply below the round-level support of 1.2400 in the European session. The Cable is facing immense selling pressure as the US Dollar has been strengthened after robust payroll additions in the United States in May fetched interest rate hike bets into the picture.

Additions of fresh Employment in May were extremely solid despite the Federal Reserve (Fed) consistently raising interest rates and US regional banks have inculcated more filters into their credit disbursement mechanism to maintain their asset quality amid a turbulent environment.

The Pound Sterling is failing in holding its feet despite the Bank of England (BoE) being expected to raise interest rates further amid a tight labor market and persistent food inflation. Considering the persistence in United Kingdom inflation, BoE Governor Andrew Bailey might fail to halve inflation by year-end as promised by UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.

GBP/USD witnessed intense selling pressure after failing to surpass the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (plotted from May 10 high at 1.2680 to May 25 low at 1.2308) at 1.2583. At the press time, the Cable dropped below the 23.6% Fibo retracement at around 1.2400. The asset has also surrendered the support from the upward-sloping trendline placed from May 25 low at 1.2308.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is hovering near 40.00. A breakdown below the same would activate the bearish momentum.

Should the asset break below May 31 low at 1.2348, US Dollar bulls would drag the asset toward May 25 low at 1.2308. Slippage below the latter would expose the asset to April 03 low at 1.2275.

On the flip side, a confident break above May 16 high at 1.2547 will drive the Cable towards May 10 low at 1.2603 followed by May 10 high at 1.2680.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2389
Today Daily Change -0.0061
Today Daily Change % -0.49
Today daily open 1.245
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2463
Daily SMA50 1.2453
Daily SMA100 1.23
Daily SMA200 1.1994
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2545
Previous Daily Low 1.2442
Previous Weekly High 1.2545
Previous Weekly Low 1.2327
Previous Monthly High 1.268
Previous Monthly Low 1.2308
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2481
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2505
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2413
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2376
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2309
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2516
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2582
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2619

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD breaks below 1.1000 on stellar NFP

EUR/USD breaks below 1.1000 on stellar NFP

The buying bias in the Greenback gathers extra pace on Friday after the US economy created far more jobs than initially estimated in September, dragging EUR/USD to the area of new lows near 1.0950.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD breaches 1.3100 after encouraging US Payrolls

GBP/USD breaches 1.3100 after encouraging US Payrolls

The continuation of the uptrend in the US Dollar motivates GBP/USD to accelerates its losses and breaches 1.3100 the figure in the wake of the release of US NFP.

GBP/USD News
Gold rebounds from daily lows and flirts with $2,670

Gold rebounds from daily lows and flirts with $2,670

Following a post-NFP dip to the $2,640 region, Gold prices now embarks on an acceptable rebound and retest the area of $2,670 per ounce troy despite the marked advance in the US Dollar and rising US yields across the board.

Gold News
US Payrolls surge in September, as 50bp rate cut ruled out

US Payrolls surge in September, as 50bp rate cut ruled out

US payrolls data surprised on the upside in September, rising by 254k, smashing expectations of a 150k rise. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2%, average hourly earnings increased to a 4% YoY rate and there was a 72k upwards revision to the previous two months’ payrolls numbers.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures