GBP/USD Price Analysis: Mean reversion to 20-EMA looks imminent


  • Sour market sentiment has dragged the Cable below 1.2200.
  • An oscillation in the bullish range by the RSI (14) indicates that the bullish momentum is still solid.
  • A mean reversion to the 20-EMA around 1.1970 is highly expected.

The GBP/USD pair has sensed barricades around the immediate hurdle of 1.2200 in the early Tokyo session.  The three-day winning streak of the Cable ended on Monday after it failed to extend its rally above 1.2340. A cautious market mood hammered the Pound Sterling and sent it to lower below the round-level cushion of 1.2200.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has witnessed a significant buying interest and has advanced to near 105.40 after refreshing its fresh- foe-month low at 104.10.

On a daily scale, Cable has faced selling pressure after testing the supply zone placed in a narrow range of 1.2292-1.2351. The gap between the Cable and the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) has escalated, therefore, a mean reversion cannot be ruled out. The Cable is still holding the 200-EMA at 1.2108, which indicates that the long-term trend is still bullish.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum is still active.

Going forward, a decline below Friday’s low at 1.2134 will drag the Cable toward the psychological resistance at 1.2000, followed by the 20-EMA around 1.1971.

On the flip side, a break above Monday’s high at 1.2345 will drive the Cable toward June 16 high of around 1.2400. A breach of the latter will send the major toward June 1 low at 1.2460.

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2187
Today Daily Change -0.0096
Today Daily Change % -0.78
Today daily open 1.2283
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1885
Daily SMA50 1.1503
Daily SMA100 1.1656
Daily SMA200 1.2149
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.23
Previous Daily Low 1.2134
Previous Weekly High 1.2311
Previous Weekly Low 1.19
Previous Monthly High 1.2154
Previous Monthly Low 1.1147
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2237
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2198
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2178
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2073
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2012
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2344
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2405
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.251

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD eases off multi-month highs above 0.6900 after dismal China's PMIs

AUD/USD eases off multi-month highs above 0.6900 after dismal China's PMIs

AUD/USD is paring back gains below the multi-month highs of 0.6937 in the Asian session on Monday. The mostly downbeat business PMI reports from China's NBS and Caixin hit the sentiment around the Aussie amid a risk-rally in Chinese stocks on more stimulus measures to spur the economy. 

AUD/USD News
USD/JPY trims gains to trade near 142.50 amid Japanese political updates

USD/JPY trims gains to trade near 142.50 amid Japanese political updates

USD/JPY is trading at around 142.50 in Asian trading on Monday after facing rejection at 143.00. Negative Japanese equities drag the pair, as markets speculate about Japan's snap election. However, mixed Japanese data and China stocks rally cap the pair's downside. 

USD/JPY News
Gold drifts lower amid the upbeat market mood, bullish potential seems intact

Gold drifts lower amid the upbeat market mood, bullish potential seems intact

Gold price attracts some sellers for the second straight day, though the downside seems limited. The optimism over China’s stimulus measures drives some haven flows away from the XAU/USD. Geopolitical risks and bets for a more aggressive policy easing by the Fed could limit losses for the precious metal.

Gold News
Week ahead: NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Week ahead: NFP on tap amid bets of another bold Fed rate cut

Investors see decent chance of another 50bps cut in November. Fed speakers, ISM PMIs and NFP to shape rate cut bets. Eurozone CPI data awaited amid bets for more ECB cuts. China PMIs and BoJ Summary of Opinions also on tap.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures