GBP/USD Price Analysis: Gains traction below 1.2500, investors await BoE’s Bailey speech


  • GBP/USD trades in positive territory for the second consecutive day on the weaker USD.
  • The pair holds above the 50- and 100-hour EMA on the four-hour chart, RSI indicator holds in the bullish zone.
  • The key resistance is seen at the 1.2500–1.2505 region; the 1.2370–1.2375 zone acts as a key support level.

The GBP/USD pair holds positive ground around 1.2485 during the early European session on Monday. The recovery of the pair is bolstered by the softer US Dollar (USD) and lower US Treasury bond yields. Investors will take more cues from Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey's speech on Monday ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes on Tuesday.

From the technical perspective, GBP/USD holds above the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with an upward slope on the four-hour chart, suggesting the path of least resistance is to the upside. Furthermore, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in the bullish territory above 50, which means further upside looks favorable.

That being said, the critical resistance level for the major pair will emerge near the confluence of the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band and a high of November 14 at the 1.2500–1.2505 region. A decisive break above the latter will see a rally to a high of September 11 at 1.2548. The next upside barrier is seen at a high of September 6 at 1.2588.

On the flip side, the 1.2370–1.2375 zone acts as a key support level. The mentioned level is the congestion of the lower limit of the Bollinger Band, the 50-hour EMA, and a low of November 16. The additional downside filter to watch is the 100-hour EMA at 1.2313. A breach of the level will see a drop to a low of November 8 at 1.2242, followed by a low of November 10 at 1.2187.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

 

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2487
Today Daily Change 0.0026
Today Daily Change % 0.21
Today daily open 1.2461
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2263
Daily SMA50 1.2257
Daily SMA100 1.2509
Daily SMA200 1.2444
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2462
Previous Daily Low 1.2374
Previous Weekly High 1.2506
Previous Weekly Low 1.2213
Previous Monthly High 1.2337
Previous Monthly Low 1.2037
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2429
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2408
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2402
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2344
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2314
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2491
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2521
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2579

 

 

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