GBP/USD Price Analysis: Further downside hinges on 1.3655 break


  • GBP/USD remains depressed, keeps last week’s pullback from 200-DMA.
  • Receding bullish bias of MACD, nearly overbought RSI signal further weakness.
  • Previous resistance line from September, two-week-old support line limit immediate downside.
  • 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, 100-DMA act as additional trading filters.

GBP/USD bounces off intraday low to 1.3675 during Monday’s Asian session. Even so, the cable pair holds onto the previous week’s U-turn from the 200-DMA.

In addition to the failures to cross the key moving average, easing bullish bias of the MACD and the overbought RSI conditions also hint at the GBP/USD pair’s further declines.

However, a convergence of a four-month-old previous resistance line and an upward sloping trend line from January 03, around 1.3655, becomes the key short-term support.

Also likely to challenge the GBP/USD bears is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of the September-December downturn, near 1.3620, as well as the 100-DMA level of 1.3550.

Meanwhile, recovery moves may attempt to cross the 200-DMA level of 1.3735 whereas the 78.6% Fibo. level surrounding 1.3755 acts as an additional filter to the north.

Should GBP/USD bulls manage to cross the 1.3755 hurdle, tops marked in October and September 2021, respectively around 1.3835 and 1.3915, will be in focus.

GBP/USD: Daily chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.3674
Today Daily Change -0.0006
Today Daily Change % -0.04%
Today daily open 1.368
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3502
Daily SMA50 1.3405
Daily SMA100 1.3553
Daily SMA200 1.3737
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3743
Previous Daily Low 1.3654
Previous Weekly High 1.3749
Previous Weekly Low 1.3532
Previous Monthly High 1.355
Previous Monthly Low 1.3161
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3688
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3709
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3641
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3603
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3552
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.373
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3781
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.382

 

 

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