GBP/USD Price Analysis: Ease in risk-off impulse and firmer UK retail demand support Cable


  • The pound Sterling has picked demand on ease in risk-off mood and firmer Like-For-Like Retail Sales data.
  • A loss in upside momentum resulted in a sell-off in Cable.
  • A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period EMAs at 1.2230, adds to the downside filters.

The GBP/USD pair has extended its recovery above the psychological resistance of 1.2200 in the Tokyo session. The Cable picked reversal after dropping to near 1.2167 as the risk-off impulse has trimmed marginally. Apart from that, upbeat Like-For-Like Retail Sales by the British Retail Consortium (BRC) have supported Pound Sterling.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is putting efforts into sustaining above the round-level cushion of 105.00. The 10-year US Treasury yields have sensed selling pressure after printing a high of 3.59%.

On an hourly scale, Cable has witnessed selling pressure from market participants after failing to keep the upside momentum intact. The asset was making higher highs while the momentum oscillator, Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), formed a lower high on Monday. A loss in the upside momentum forced investors to book longs.

A bear cross, represented by the 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 1.2230, adds to the downside filters.

Meanwhile, the RSI (14) is hovering around 40.00. A slippage inside the bearish range of 20.00-40.00 will trigger a bearish momentum.

Going forward, a decline below Friday’s low at 1.2134 will drag the Cable toward the psychological resistance at 1.2000, followed by the 20-EMA around 1.1971.

On the flip side, a break above Monday’s high at 1.2345 will drive the Cable toward June 16 high of around 1.2400. A breach of the latter will send the major toward June 1 low at 1.2460.

GBP/USD hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.22
Today Daily Change 0.0021
Today Daily Change % 0.17
Today daily open 1.2179
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1919
Daily SMA50 1.1533
Daily SMA100 1.1658
Daily SMA200 1.2143
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2345
Previous Daily Low 1.2162
Previous Weekly High 1.2311
Previous Weekly Low 1.19
Previous Monthly High 1.2154
Previous Monthly Low 1.1147
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2232
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2275
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2112
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2045
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1929
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2295
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2412
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2478

 

 

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