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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Darvas Box favors volatility expansion above 1.2600

  • Overlapping of the 200-EMA with the cable price adds to the consolidation filters.
  • The Darvas Box formation is hitting for an extreme squeeze in volatility.
  • A 40.00-60.00 range by the RSI (14) is indicating the unavailability of momentum in the counter.

The GBP/USD pair is oscillating in a narrow range of 1.2530-1.2550 in Tokyo. On Wednesday, the cable witnessed a responsive selling action after attempting to overstep the critical hurdle of 1.2600. A balanced market profile is indicating a consolidative move ahead.

The formation of a Darvas Box chart pattern on an hourly scale is indicating a squeeze in the standard deviation. The asset is trading back and forth in a range of 1.2430-1.2600 for the past two weeks. Usually, a Darvas box formation after a vertical upside move dictates the presence of initiative buyers, which holds the potential of driving the asset higher.

The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2544 is overlapping with the cable price, which firms the odds of consolidation ahead.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) in the 40.00-60.00 range is hoping for a continuation of a lackluster performance.

An upside break of the Darvas Box above weekly highs at 1.2600 will send the asset towards May’s high and the round-level resistance at 1.2667 and 1.2700 respectively.

On the contrary, the pound bulls could lose their grip if the asset drops below Tuesday’s low at 1.2430. This will drag the major towards May 11 high at 1.2400 followed by May 18 low at 1.2280.

GBP/USD hourly chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2541
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2539
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2498
Daily SMA501.2679
Daily SMA1001.3022
Daily SMA2001.3285
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2598
Previous Daily Low1.2513
Previous Weekly High1.266
Previous Weekly Low1.2458
Previous Monthly High1.2667
Previous Monthly Low1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2545
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2565
Daily Pivot Point S11.2502
Daily Pivot Point S21.2466
Daily Pivot Point S31.2418
Daily Pivot Point R11.2586
Daily Pivot Point R21.2634
Daily Pivot Point R31.2671

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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