|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Climbs on USD weakness but fails to conquer the 200-DMA

  • GBP/USD rallied almost 1% or 114 pips on Friday, post US NFP.
  • Bulls struggle at the 200-day EMA, exacerbating a GBP/USD fall of 60 pips to current rates.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: The bias is bearish, but upside risks remain.

GBP/USD recovers some ground getting ready to finish the week with minimal gains after bouncing off YTD lows at 1.1802, with buyers reclaiming 1.2000 on a mixed US jobs report. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2040, above its opening price y 1.01%.

GBP/USD Price Action

The GBP/USD has reclaimed the 1.2000 figure, but its bias has not changed. The aftermath of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report witnessed the Pound Sterling (GBP) reaching the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2112. However, sellers stepped in and dragged the spot beneath the 1.2100 mark.

On its way south, the GBP/USD pierced under the 50-day EMA, leaving the exchange rates around familiar levels. Nevertheless, the 100 and 20-day EMAs are resting below the current prices, warranting further consolidation ahead.

For a bearish resumption, the GBP/USD needs to crack the 100 and 20-day EMAs, each at 1.2023 and 1.2010, respectively. After that, the 1,2000 figure could be grabbed, paving the way for further downside. The following support would be the 1.1900 figure, ahead of the YTD low at 1.1802.

Conversely, the GBP/USD must reclaim the 50-day EMA at 1.2056 if buyers want to remain hopeful of shifting the trend. The next resistance would be 1.2100, followed by the 200-day EMA at 1.2112.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.204
Today Daily Change0.0121
Today Daily Change %1.02
Today daily open1.1919
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2015
Daily SMA501.213
Daily SMA1001.201
Daily SMA2001.1903
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1939
Previous Daily Low1.1832
Previous Weekly High1.2143
Previous Weekly Low1.1922
Previous Monthly High1.2402
Previous Monthly Low1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1898
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1873
Daily Pivot Point S11.1854
Daily Pivot Point S21.179
Daily Pivot Point S31.1747
Daily Pivot Point R11.1961
Daily Pivot Point R21.2003
Daily Pivot Point R31.2068

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3500 on softer US Dollar

GBP/USD is posting moderate gains above 1.3500 in European trading on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar meets fresh supply following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address and amid looming tariff uncertainty. 

Gold eyes monthly top above $5,200 amid geopolitics, trade jitters

Gold buyers are back in the game, eyeing $5,200 and beyonf on Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.