|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls coming up for their last breath?

  • GBP/USD is on the verge of another higher high to stretch the pair towards the psychological 1.40 area. 
  • The focus should be on 4-hour resistance structure, and a breach will open prospects of another bullish daily impulse. 

Further to prior analysis of mid-December 2020, GBP Price Analysis: A a break of critical 1.3514 exposes low volume nodes to 1.3820, the upside towards current levels was forecasted on a daily chart as follows:

Current prospects

With the price moving into supply, then there should be a focus on the downside. 

However, given how far the US dollar has rallied against a bearish fundamental backdrop, there could be some more juice left in the market to squeeze on the long side for cable.

This gives rise to the suspicion that the recent correction to daily support in cable is over and that a higher-high, deeper into supply territory is on the cards. 

Daily chart

4-hour chart

From a 4-hour perspective, the bulls will want to see a break of resistance that will be then expected to act as support.

This could be the last breath of air that the bulls can muster before a significant sell-off might ensue when considering five uninterrupted months of higher highs and lows. 

Monthly chart

After such a strong bullish run and meeting what would be expected to be tough resistance, the focus should be on the downside. 

However, GBP has been second-best performing G10 for 2021, having risen 1.7% vs the greenback and 2.3% against the EUR.

In the week ending 9 February, GBP positioning jumped, reaching 11-month highs against the dollar as the vaccine rollout kicks-in and Brexit risk kicks-out. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.