|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bearish harami confirmed as Pound slumps below 1.2700

  • GBP/USD drops to 1.2683, marking a new four-week low of 1.2656 amidst risk aversion.
  • Technical outlook: Bearish momentum as RSI falls below 50; potential support at 1.2643/38, 50-DMA at 1.2611, and 200-DMA at 1.2547.
  • Resistance at 1.2700; if breached, expect consolidation in the range of 1.2700-1.2750.

The Pound Sterling dropped sharply below the 1.2700 figure as risk aversion took its toll on most G7 currencies, except for safe-haven peers like the Greenback. Political turmoil in Europe sent the Euro collapsing against the Swiss Franc, while the GBP/USD falls 0.62% and traded at 1.2683 at the time of writing.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the GBP/USD has shifted neutral to downward biased, with momentum hinting that sellers are gathering traction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen below 50, turning bearish, while price action shows the pair printed a new four-week low of 1.2656, opening the door for additional losses.

If GBP/USD pierces the confluence of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and May 3 swing high turned support at around 1.2643/38, that would accelerate the downtrend, exposing the 50-DMA at 1.2611, ahead of 1.2600. Further losses are seen below the figure, with the 200-DMA at 1.2547 up next.

Conversely, if buyers moved in and reclaim 1.2700, the GBP/USD could consolidate at around 1.2700-1.2750, as stir resistance lies ahead.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2683
Today Daily Change-0.0079
Today Daily Change %-0.62
Today daily open1.2762
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2744
Daily SMA501.2612
Daily SMA1001.264
Daily SMA2001.255
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2808
Previous Daily Low1.2738
Previous Weekly High1.2818
Previous Weekly Low1.2695
Previous Monthly High1.2801
Previous Monthly Low1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2781
Daily Pivot Point S11.2731
Daily Pivot Point S21.27
Daily Pivot Point S31.2662
Daily Pivot Point R11.2801
Daily Pivot Point R21.2839
Daily Pivot Point R31.287

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stabilizes near 1.1800 as markets focus on geopolitics

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony failed to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3500, struggles to gain traction

GBP/USD rebound from session lows but stays below 1.3550 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar stay resilient against its rivals and makes it difficult for the pair gather recovery momentum. Investors await headlines that will come out of the US-Iran nuclear talks.

Gold clings to small gains near $5,200 ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold trades marginally higher on the day above $5,150 on Thursday as investors refrain from taking large positions. The US and Iran will hold the next round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, outcome of which could have significant implications for risk perception.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.