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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bearish harami confirmed as Pound slumps below 1.2700

  • GBP/USD drops to 1.2683, marking a new four-week low of 1.2656 amidst risk aversion.
  • Technical outlook: Bearish momentum as RSI falls below 50; potential support at 1.2643/38, 50-DMA at 1.2611, and 200-DMA at 1.2547.
  • Resistance at 1.2700; if breached, expect consolidation in the range of 1.2700-1.2750.

The Pound Sterling dropped sharply below the 1.2700 figure as risk aversion took its toll on most G7 currencies, except for safe-haven peers like the Greenback. Political turmoil in Europe sent the Euro collapsing against the Swiss Franc, while the GBP/USD falls 0.62% and traded at 1.2683 at the time of writing.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the GBP/USD has shifted neutral to downward biased, with momentum hinting that sellers are gathering traction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen below 50, turning bearish, while price action shows the pair printed a new four-week low of 1.2656, opening the door for additional losses.

If GBP/USD pierces the confluence of the 100-day moving average (DMA) and May 3 swing high turned support at around 1.2643/38, that would accelerate the downtrend, exposing the 50-DMA at 1.2611, ahead of 1.2600. Further losses are seen below the figure, with the 200-DMA at 1.2547 up next.

Conversely, if buyers moved in and reclaim 1.2700, the GBP/USD could consolidate at around 1.2700-1.2750, as stir resistance lies ahead.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2683
Today Daily Change-0.0079
Today Daily Change %-0.62
Today daily open1.2762
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2744
Daily SMA501.2612
Daily SMA1001.264
Daily SMA2001.255
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2808
Previous Daily Low1.2738
Previous Weekly High1.2818
Previous Weekly Low1.2695
Previous Monthly High1.2801
Previous Monthly Low1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2765
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2781
Daily Pivot Point S11.2731
Daily Pivot Point S21.27
Daily Pivot Point S31.2662
Daily Pivot Point R11.2801
Daily Pivot Point R21.2839
Daily Pivot Point R31.287

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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