- GBP/USD takes the bids on calls of sustained Conservative leadership.
- YouGov’s MPR, the mother of all poll, projects a majority of 68 seats.
- Cable stood firm against the greenback the previous day amid increasing calls of sustained Tory leadership.
GBP/USD surges to 1.2920 after YouGov’s MRP poll suggests the ruling Tory party will keep the helm of the United Kingdom (UK) with a huge majority. The release came out early Thursday morning in Asia.
The YouGov’s Poll on MRP model is highly respected due to its predictions of the UK election outcome ever since they forecasted a hung parliament in 2017. The poll suggests Conservatives to gain 359 seats against the opposition Labour Party's 211 seat forecast. It also shows that 43% of vote share will be alloted to the ruling Tories versus Jeremy Corbyn-led Labour Party's 32% expected share, which in turn shows 11 point lead of the Prime Minister (PM) Boris Johnson led Conservatives over the Labour Party.
Read: YouGov Poll: MRP model projects a Tory majority of 68 – The Times
The Cable was recently under pressure, before Wednesday, on expectations that the Tory manifesto might weigh on the ruling party’s fame ahead of the December election. Though, the quote managed to rise on the previous day with the Guardian cutting its sources.
Earlier on Wednesday, The Guardian’s journalist Owen Jones cited sources while reporting that British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservatives have a significant majority over the Labour Party in the YouGov’s MRP poll.
Traders will now have a few data to watch during the United States (US) holiday due to Thanksgiving Day while trade/political headlines will keep the market’s alive.
Technical Analysis
Prices need to clear the monthly top of 1.2950 to aim for 1.3000 else calls of pullback to immediate support line around 1.2840 can’t be denied.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.