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GBP/USD maintains its position below 1.2650, focus on US GDP data

  • GBP/USD remains calm due to lowered inflation from the United Kingdom.
  • UK CPI and Core CPI YoY eased at 3.9% and 5.1%, respectively.
  • Several Fed officials have denied speculations on the Fed's rate cuts and called it premature.

GBP/USD hovers around 1.2640 during the Asian hours on Thursday, attempting to recover its recent losses registered on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) faced a challenge due to downbeat inflation from the United Kingdom (UK). Additionally, the US Dollar (USD) witnessed gains on improved economic data from the United States (US).

UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) (YoY) eased at 3.9% from the previous figures of 4.6%, against the expected readings of 4.4% in November. The CPI (MoM) dropped 0.2% MoM in November from a flat 0.0% in the previous reading and below the 0.1% estimated. The Core CPI (YoY) rose 5.1% versus 5.7% prior and the market consensus of 5.6%. Investors will further observe Gross Domestic Product and Retail Sales data scheduled to be released on Friday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) experiences a decline, hovering around 102.30, despite the presence of higher US Treasury yields. The 2-year and 10-year yields on US bond coupons are at 4.36% and 3.86%, respectively, at the time of writing. The market is reflecting speculation fueled by the dovish sentiment surrounding the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate trajectory in early 2024, which is contributing to the downward pressure on the Greenback.

However, it's crucial that several Fed officials have emphasized a cautious approach and discouraged premature speculations on policy rate cuts. The dynamic interplay between interest rates, central bank sentiment, and market expectations continues to shape the movements of the US Dollar.

The US Existing Home Sales Change indicated a notable monthly rate increase of 0.8% in November, representing a significant rebound from the previous decline of 4.1%. Adding to the positive economic indicators, CB Consumer Confidence experienced substantial growth in December, marking the most significant increase since early 2021, rising from 101.0 to 110.07.

Looking ahead, market participants are likely awaiting key economic releases on Thursday for further insights into the US economy. These include US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q3), Initial Jobless Claims, and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey.

GBP/USD: Technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1.2644
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open1.2627
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2631
Daily SMA501.2411
Daily SMA1001.2449
Daily SMA2001.2511
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2735
Previous Daily Low1.2626
Previous Weekly High1.2794
Previous Weekly Low1.2501
Previous Monthly High1.2733
Previous Monthly Low1.2096
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2668
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2693
Daily Pivot Point S11.259
Daily Pivot Point S21.2554
Daily Pivot Point S31.2482
Daily Pivot Point R11.2699
Daily Pivot Point R21.2771
Daily Pivot Point R31.2807

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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