- Sterling opens the new week on the front foot, looking to add to last week's gains.
- A quiet day on the macro calendar leads to plenty of high-impact data for the rest of the week.
The GBP/USD is tending towards the high side in the early week's action, pushing into 1.4265 ahead of the European markets.
Last week's run-up in market tensions over Syria came to a head on Friday, and ended with a missile strike on Syria by the US, joined by the UK and France, in retaliatory strikes against Bashar al-Assad's embroiled government following a suspected chemical weapons attack on a Syrian neighborhood last weekend. Markets opened on a fairly positive note following revelations that the US is unlikely to devote resources for a protracted campaign in Syria, and markets have kicked off the new week by easing back and allowing risk appetite to seep back in.
Risk tone: well, so far so good, just another attack on Syria, market moves on . . .
Monday is a quiet day for the Cable, and the only notable action will be US Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT. The Retail Sales (excluding autos) for March are expected at 0.3 percent versus the previous 0.2, while the Retail Sales control group is expected at 0.4 percent against the previous 0.1. The Sterling's first real action of the week will happen on Tuesday, with quarterly Average Earnings at 08:30 GMT, both with and without bonuses. Average Earnings excluding bonuses is expected at 2.9 versus the previous 2.6 percent, while including bonuses is forecast at 2.6 percent versus the previous 2.8. Following that will be CPI figures for the GBP on Wednesday, which are expected to hold steady with the headline core inflation figures for March anticipated at 2.4 percent, in-line with the previous reading.
GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Sterling at the crossroads of breaking higher in data busy week
GBP/USD Levels to consider
The Sterling has been weathering the recent risk aversion storms well for 2018, steady marking in higher highs as 2018 progresses, and as FXStreet's Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik noted earlier, "the pair is technically bullish according to the daily chart, having closed around March's high, and well above a bullish 20 DMA, while technical indicators maintain their upward slopes well into positive territory. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the positive momentum eased but the pair is far from signaling a downward move, as it continues developing above a bullish 20 SMA, while technical indicators ease within positive territory, the Momentum nearing its mid-line, but the RSI now consolidating around 62. The main bullish target continues being 1.4345 the highest since the Brexit referendum established last January."
Support levels: 1.4180 1.4150 1.4115
Resistance levels: 1.4295 1.4345 1.4390
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays offered but reclaims the 1.0200 hurdle
Following an earlier pullback to new cycle lows in the 1.0180-1.0175 band, EUR/USD now manages to regain some upside traction and reclaim the area beyond 1.0200 the figure despite the persistent move higher in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess Friday's US NFP and the prospect of just one rate hike by the Fed this year.
GBP/USD rebounds from lows in the sub-1.2100 area
After bottoming out just below the 1.2100 support, GBP/USD now regains some composure and attempt a modest rebound, although the British pound is expected to remain under pressure following the UK fiscal scenario and higher gilts.
Gold corrects lower on shrinking bets for Fed rate cuts
Prices of Gold trade on the defensive and reverse four consecutive daily pullbacks in response to extra improvement in the US Dollar as well as investors' reassessement of just one (or none at all) interest rate cut by the Fed for the current year, particularly following Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls prints.
Five Fundamentals for the Week: US inflation, UK bond rout and Donald Trump set to rock markets Premium
Are British bonds the "canary in the coal mine?" The sell-off in the UK bond market and potentially higher interest rates in the US put investors on edge. Several critical releases – and comments from President-elect Donald Trump – are set to cause high volatility.
Bitcoin falls below $92,000 as exchanges show overheating conditions
Bitcoin (BTC) continues its ongoing correction, falling below $92,000 on Monday after declining almost 4% last week. CryptoQuant data shows that BTC is overheating in exchanges and suggests further decline ahead.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.