GBP/USD hovers above 1.2150 major level, focus on UK employment, PMI data


  • GBP/USD struggles to extend gains as US Dollar rebounds.
  • UK Retail Sales dipped to 0.9% against the expected 0.1% decline.
  • Upbeat US Treasury yields provide support to underpin the Greenback.

GBP/USD struggles to continue the winning streak. trading around 1.2160 during the Asian session on Monday. However, the currency pair encountered a hurdle following the release of downbeat United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales data for September on Friday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) managed to recover its losses against the weaker US Dollar (USD).

Monthly Retail Sales revealed a 0.9% decline, in contrast to the expected 0.1% decrease, following a modest 0.4% rise in August. On an annual basis, sales contracted by 1.0%, defying market predictions of a stagnant performance.

This dip in Retail Sales is indicative of the financial strain on households due to high inflation and increased borrowing costs. The significant drop in consumer spending is likely to have a notable impact on consumer inflation expectations. As a consequence of weakening spending, there's speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) might lean towards maintaining the current interest rates at 5.25% in November’s policy meeting.

US Dollar Index (DXY) attempts to recoup recent losses, possibly bolstered by robust economic data from the United States (US). Additionally, the upbeat US Treasury yields provide support in underpinning the US Dollar (USD), with the 10-year US Treasury yield standing at 4.96%, up by 0.92%, by the press time.

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, on Thursday, suggested that the central bank has no immediate plans to raise rates, providing support for the GBP/USD pair. Powell also mentioned that additional tightening of monetary policy might be necessary if there are further signs of growth or the labor market stops improving.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic shared his belief on Friday that the US central bank is unlikely to lower interest rates before the middle of next year. Fed Philadelphia President Patrick Harker reiterated his inclination to maintain unchanged interest rates.

Moreover, Fed Cleveland President Loretta Mester indicated that the US central bank is "at or near the peak of the rate hike cycle." However, Mester acknowledged that the data released during the previous week could influence the central bank's decision regarding the future of monetary policy.

Market participants will closely monitor the US S&P Global PMI on Tuesday, followed by the Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday, and the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday. On the UK docket, Claimant Count Change, Employment Change, and S&P Global/CIPS PMI will also be eyed.

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.2155
Today Daily Change -0.0010
Today Daily Change % -0.08
Today daily open 1.2165
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2182
Daily SMA50 1.2409
Daily SMA100 1.2587
Daily SMA200 1.2444
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.217
Previous Daily Low 1.2094
Previous Weekly High 1.222
Previous Weekly Low 1.209
Previous Monthly High 1.2713
Previous Monthly Low 1.2111
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2141
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2123
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2115
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2066
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2038
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2192
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.222
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2269

 

 

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