- GBP/USD trades near 1.2740, after hitting a daily high of 1.2766 previously in the session.
- FOMC minutes showed that members were deeply concerned with upside inflation risks.
- GBP is holding strong after hot inflation figures from July from the UK reported during the European session.
After the release of July’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, the GBP/USD saw little change. Despite members sounding hawkish, if failed to trigger a significant reaction on the USD, the GBP continues to trade strong amid hot inflation figures from the UK and hawkish bets on the Bank of England.
Minutes showed that members were concerned with the upside inflation risks due to a hot labour market and left the door open for another hike, at least for this cycle. The immediate reaction was a slightly upwards movement of the US DXY index and the US Treasury bond yields, but the GBP/USD held its ground.
It will all come down to incoming data. Overall the US economy shows strong economic activity and a robust labour market while inflation retreats. Before the September meeting, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will receive an additional Nonfarm Payrroll and Consumer Price Index (CPI) report and medium-tier economic activity figures from August. As for now, according to the CME FedWatch tool, markets bet that the Fed will pause in September and foresee 40% odds of a 25 basis points hike in November.
GBP/USD Levels to watch
According to the daily chart, the technical outlook for the GBP/USD remains neutral to bullish as the bulls are recovering ground. With an ascending slope below its midline, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests a potential increase in buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) exhibits lower red bars. On the other hand, the pair is above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), below the 100-day SMA, but above the 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls still have the upper hand looking at the broader picture.
Support levels: 1.2730, 1.2715, 1.2700.
Resistance levels: 1.2760, 1.2780, 1.2800.
GBP/USD Daily chart
-638278073661283991.png)
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD retreats from daily highs, holds above 1.0800
EUR/USD loses traction but holds above 1.0800 after touching its highest level in three weeks above 1.0840. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose more than expected in June but downward revisions to May and April don't allow the USD to gather strength.
GBP/USD struggles to hold above 1.2800 after US jobs data
GBP/USD spiked above 1.2800 with the immediate reaction to the mixed US jobs report but retreated below this level. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose 206,000 in June. The Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.1% and annual wage inflation declined to 3.9%.
Gold approaches $2,380 on robust NFP data
Gold intensifies the bullish stance for the day, rising to the vicinity of the $2,380 region following the publication of the US labour market report for the month of June. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays deep in the red near 4.3%, helping XAU/USD push higher.
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple lose key support levels, extend declines on Friday
Crypto market lost nearly 6% in market capitalization, down to $2.121 trillion. Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) erased recent gains from 2024.
French Elections Preview: Euro to “sell the fact” on a hung parliament scenario Premium
Investors expect Frances's second round of parliamentary elections to end with a hung parliament. Keeping extremists out of power is priced in and could result in profit-taking on Euro gains.