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GBP/USD flirts with session lows, around 1.3825-20 amid notable USD demand

  • A goodish pickup in the USD demand prompted some fresh selling around GBP/USD on Tuesday.
  • The upbeat US economic outlook, a softer risk tone drove some haven flows towards the USD.
  • Retreating US bond yields did little to cap the USD amid expectations for an earlier Fed rate hike.

The GBP/USD pair maintained its heavily offered tone through the mid-European session and was last seen hovering near the lower end of its daily trading range, around the 1.3825-20 region.

The pair witnessed a dramatic intraday turnaround on Tuesday and dropped nearly 100 pips from the 1.3920 region, or over two-week tops amid the emergence of some fresh buying around the US dollar. Investors remained optimistic about the prospects for a relatively strong US economic growth amid the impressive pave of coronavirus vaccinations. The incoming economic data, including the latest NFP report and Monday's ISM Services PMI, reinforced the upbeat outlook and continued underpinning the greenback.

Apart from this, a generally softer tone around the US equity futures further benefitted the USD's safe-haven status and further contributed to the GBP/USD pair's intraday fall. The combination of supporting factors helped offset the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which tend to weigh on the greenback. That said, increasing bets for an earlier Fed rate hike should limit the downside for the US bond yields.

The reflation trade has been fueling speculations about an uptick in US inflation and raised doubts that the Fed will retain ultra-low interest rates for a longer period. This suggests that the path of least resistance for the greenback remains to the upside. This, in turn, supports prospects for a further intraday depreciating move for the GBP/USD pair amid absent relevant market moving economic releases from the US.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3829
Today Daily Change-0.0072
Today Daily Change %-0.52
Today daily open1.3901
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3848
Daily SMA501.3851
Daily SMA1001.3667
Daily SMA2001.3308
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3914
Previous Daily Low1.3813
Previous Weekly High1.3853
Previous Weekly Low1.3706
Previous Monthly High1.4017
Previous Monthly Low1.3671
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3875
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3852
Daily Pivot Point S11.3838
Daily Pivot Point S21.3776
Daily Pivot Point S31.3738
Daily Pivot Point R11.3939
Daily Pivot Point R21.3976
Daily Pivot Point R31.4039

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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