- GBP/USD needs to cross the 1.1360 hurdle for an upside momentum amid a cheerful market mood.
- The Fed is not ready to pause the rate hike spell until it sees compelling evidence of an inflation slowdown.
- Loss of confidence in UK PM Liz Truss's leadership has escalated UK’s political instability.
The GBP/USD pair faces barricades around the immediate hurdle of 1.1360 in the Tokyo session. The hurdles around 1.1360 seem less powerful amid escalating risk appetite of the market participants. S&P500 futures have extended their gains in the Tokyo session after back-to-back upbeat trading sessions. The pound bulls will get strengthened after overstepping the hurdle mentioned above.
Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) displays a subdued performance of around 112.00. The asset could lose further amid a decline in safe-haven appeal. On the contrary, returns on US bonds are still solid amid firmer hawkish Fed bets. The 10-year US Treasury yields have extended their gains above 4.01% at the time of writing.
As per the CME FedWatch tool, chances for a fourth consecutive 75 basis point (bps) rate hike announcement stand around 96%.
In response to soaring inflationary pressures, Minneapolis Fed Bank President Neel Kashkari stated on Tuesday, "Until I see some compelling evidence that core inflation has at least peaked, not ready to declare a pause in rate hikes,” reported Reuters.
Fed’s continuous rate hike measures have little to soften the inflation rate. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) has been trimmed amid lower gasoline prices while the core CPI is well-anchored amid rising prices in the service sector.
On the UK front, the Bank of England (BOE) has announced its bond-selling program belonged to Asset Purchase Facility (APF) from November 1. This will trim liquidity from the market.
UK’s political instability has reached the rooftop as officials have lost confidence in UK PM Liz Truss’s leadership. A YouGov poll of Tory members found that 55% would now vote for Rishi Sunak, who lost out to Ms. Truss if they were able to vote again, while just 25% would vote for Ms. Truss.
On Wednesday, the release of the UK inflation data will be of utmost importance for further direction. As per the projections, the headline and core inflation may incline by 10 basis points each to 10% and 6.4% respectively. A return to a double-digit inflation figure could trigger more headwinds for the UK economy.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD trades modestly flat above 0.6400 after Aussie trade data
AUD/USD reacts little to better-than-expected Australian Goods Trade Balance data and remains in a range above 0.6400 early Thursday. Rising bets for an early RBA rate cut cap the Aussie's upside amid China's economic woes and US-Sino trade war fears. Eyes turn to US data, Fedspeak.
USD/JPY fades the dovish BoJ commentary-led uptick above 150.50
USD/JPY is reversing the bounce to near 150.70 in the Asian session on Thursday. The pair remains weighed down by rising bets for another BoJ rate hike this month, shrugging off the dovish comments from BoJ policymaker Nakamura and a modest recovery in the US Treasury bond yields.
Gold price lacks firm near-term direction and is stuck in a familiar range
Gold price extends its sideways consolidative price move in a familiar range, awaiting a fresh catalyst before the next leg of a directional move. Geopolitical tensions, trade war fears and the overnight decline in the US bond yields offer support to the safe-haven XAU/USD.
Ripple's XRP could see a price rebound despite retail activity decline, RLUSD launch delay
XRP traded near $2.4 on Wednesday as Ripple Labs clarified that its RLUSD stablecoin will not debut on exchanges despite a rumored launch among crypto community members. Amid a sharp decline in XRP's price, on-chain data shows the remittance-based token still has the potential to resume its rally.
Four out of G10
In most cases, the G10 central bank stories for December are starting to converge on a single outcome. Here is the state of play: Fed: My interpretation of Waller’s speech this week is that his prior probability for a December cut was around 75% before the data.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.