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GBP/USD drops below 1.21 for first time since Jan. 2017, eyes on BoE

  • US Dollar Index inches closer to 99 handles on Thursday.
  • UK Manufacturing PMI stays below 50 in July.
  • Bank of England is expected to leave the policy rate unchanged at 0.75%.

The bearish pressure surrounding the GBP/USD pair remains intact on Thursday ahead of the Bank of England's monetary policy announcements. As of writing, the pair was trading at its lowest level in more than 30 months at 1.2088, erasing 0.57% daily.

The dollar continues to outperform rivals

The broad USD strength today seems to be driving the pair's action. Although the Federal Reserve yesterday lowered its policy rate by 25 basis points as expected, Chairman Powell implied the rate cut was decision was not seen as the beginning of a "lengthy cutting cycle" and provided a boost to the Greenback. After posting its highest daily close in more than two years at 98.57, the US Dollar Index pushed higher today and is now adding 0.35% on the day at 98.90.

Earlier today, the IHS Markit/CIPS’ Manufacturing PMI came in at 48 in July as expected. Commenting on the data, “A killer combination of economic uncertainty and the weakest production levels for seven years, battered the manufacturing sector into contraction for the third consecutive month in July,” Duncan Brock, Group Director at the Chartered Institute of Procurement & Supply (CIPS), said. 

Eyes on Bank of England

In the next hour, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision, which is expected to remain unchanged at 0.75%, and publish its monetary policy. Governor Carney is scheduled to deliver his remarks on the policy outlook at 11:30 GMT as well. 

Previewing this event, "Our UK economists wrote that although they expect the MPC will vote to keep Bank Rate on hold, they think that they will drop their tightening bias, “with the MPC becoming more sensitive to a deteriorating economic outlook vis-à-vis the ongoing trade wars and an increasing risk of a no deal Brexit.”," said Deutsche Bank analysts.

"Since the MPC’s last meeting of course, sterling has weakened noticeably, although yesterday it was the best-performing G10 currency versus the dollar, trading flat despite broad strength for the greenback.”

Technical levels to watch for

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2089
Today Daily Change-0.0071
Today Daily Change %-0.58
Today daily open1.216
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2443
Daily SMA501.2575
Daily SMA1001.2804
Daily SMA2001.2847
Levels
Previous Daily High1.225
Previous Daily Low1.2134
Previous Weekly High1.2522
Previous Weekly Low1.2376
Previous Monthly High1.2706
Previous Monthly Low1.2119
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2206
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2179
Daily Pivot Point S11.2113
Daily Pivot Point S21.2065
Daily Pivot Point S31.1996
Daily Pivot Point R11.2229
Daily Pivot Point R21.2298
Daily Pivot Point R31.2346

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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