The US dollar appreciated substantially through the crisis as investors sought the liquidity and safe-haven appeal of the US dollar. Nonetheless, analysts at UBS expect the greenback to depreciate and the best to express this view is the cable.
Key quotes
“In our upside scenario, in which safe-haven assets and liquidity are less in demand, we expect the US dollar to depreciate.”
“Our preferred G10 currency to buy relative to the US dollar is the British pound. The currency remains deeply undervalued considering our estimate of purchasing power parity at 1.53. We target GBP/USD at 1.38 by year-end for our upside scenario, and 1.33 in our central scenario.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD maintains position above 1.0800 near four-month highs
EUR/USD edges higher after registering losses in the previous session trading around 1.0810 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair gains ground as the US Dollar loses ground, driven by falling Treasury yields as markets anticipate more aggressive Fed rate cuts this year amid US growth concerns.
GBP/USD steadies around 1.2900 as traders adopt caution ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls
GBP/USD holds little gains after registering losses in the previous session, trading around 1.2880 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair steadies as traders adopt caution ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report scheduled to be released later in the North American session.
Gold price extends its consolidative price move above $2,900 ahead of US NFP
Gold price remains confined in a range on Friday as traders keenly await the US NFP release. Rising trade tensions, the risk-off mood, and a weaker USD lend support to the precious metal. Bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed contribute to limiting losses for the XAU/USD pair.
Nonfarm Payrolls forecast: US job growth set to rebound in February after weak January data
Nonfarm Payrolls are expected to rise by 160K in February, following the 143K increase reported in January. The Unemployment Rate is forecast to remain unchanged at 4%.
Make Europe great again? Germany’s fiscal shift is redefining the European investment playbook
For years, Europe has been synonymous with slow growth, fiscal austerity, and an overreliance on monetary policy to keep its economic engine running. But a major shift is now underway. Germany, long the poster child of fiscal discipline, is cracking open the purse strings, and the ripple effects could be huge.
The Best brokers to trade EUR/USD
SPONSORED Discover the top brokers for trading EUR/USD in 2025. Our list features brokers with competitive spreads, fast execution, and powerful platforms. Whether you're a beginner or an expert, find the right partner to navigate the dynamic Forex market.