Scepticism about whether the BoE will ultimately act restrictively enough is likely to continue to weigh on the Pound in the near term, economists at Commerzbank report.
EUR/GBP to appreciate in the coming quarters
The market is likely to be dominated by concerns that the BoE is acting too slowly and cautiously and will not get a grip on the inflation problem. The Pound is likely to suffer from this.
If the inflation outlook were to improve significantly Sterling might be able to recover slightly. At that point, the expectations that the BoE will cut its key rate due to the weak economy will then probably increase. At the same time, as we do not expect the ECB to cut its key rate, we expect EUR/GBP to appreciate in the coming quarters.
Source: Commerzbank Research
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD drifts higher ahead of UK election results
GBP/USD extends its sideways grind near 1.2750 in the American session on Thursday. A broadly softer US Dollar keeps the pair afloat but traders refrain from placing fresh bets on the Pound Sterling while awaiting exit polls of UK election.
EUR/USD: The US NFP will put the rebound to the test
EUR/USD kept alive its multi-session uptrend and advanced past the 1.0800 barrier in response to the so-far incessant downside pressure in the US Dollar, all ahead of the publication of crucial NFP data at the end of the week.
Gold consolidates weekly gains ahead of US NFP
Gold struggles to build on Wednesday's gains and trades in a narrow band above $2,350. Sustained US Dollar weakness alongside sluggish US Treasury bond yields help XAU/USD limit its losses ahead of Friday's key June jobs report from the US.
Bitcoin price falls amidst German government transfers
Bitcoin (BTC) faced rejection at the daily resistance level of $63,956 on Monday, resulting in a 4.2% decline over the next two days. BTC’s price extends its downward move and falls below $58,000 on Thursday, adding more than 4% losses in the day.
US June Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Analyzing Gold price reaction to NFP surprises Premium
Historically, how impactful has the US jobs report been on gold’s valuation? In this article, we present results from a study in which we analyzed the XAU/USD pair's reaction to the previous 35 NFP prints*.