|

GBP/JPY struggles near one-week low, just below 161.00 mark amid risk-off mood

  • GBP/JPY struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday uptick to the 161.55 region.
  • Concerns about the UK government’s fiscal plans, recession fears weigh on the GBP.
  • The risk-off mood benefits the safe-haven JPY and contributes to the intraday slide.

The GBP/JPY cross surrenders its modest intraday gains and drops to a one-week low, below the 161.00 round-figure mark during the early European session.

Investors remain concerned about the UK government's fiscal policy, which continues to undermine the British pound amid looming recession risks and acts as a headwind for the GBP/JPY cross. In fact, UK Prime Minister Liz Truss last week defended the tax-cut plan and said that cutting taxes is the right thing to do morally and economically. This could derail the Bank of England's efforts to contain high inflation and force it to turn more hawkish, creating headwinds for the economy.

Apart from this, the prevalent risk-off environment benefits the Japanese yen's relative safe-haven status and further contributes to capping the GBP/JPY cross. The market sentiment remains fragile amid growing worries about a deeper global economic downturn and geopolitical risks, which is evident from a weaker tone around the equity markets. That said, thin trading volumes on the back of a holiday in Japan help limit the downside for the GBP/JPY cross, at least for the time being.

Moreover, a big divergence in the monetary policy stance adopted by the Bank of Japan and other major central banks should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the JPY. This, in turn, warrants caution before positioning for an extension of the recent pullback from a three-week high, around the 165.70 area touched last Wednesday. In the absence of any major market-moving economic releases on Monday, the broader risk sentiment will be looked upon for some impetus around the GBP/JPY cross.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price161.06
Today Daily Change0.08
Today Daily Change %0.05
Today daily open160.98
 
Trends
Daily SMA20161.84
Daily SMA50162.22
Daily SMA100163.13
Daily SMA200160.66
 
Levels
Previous Daily High162.6
Previous Daily Low160.78
Previous Weekly High165.72
Previous Weekly Low160.58
Previous Monthly High167.22
Previous Monthly Low148.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.9
Daily Pivot Point S1160.3
Daily Pivot Point S2159.63
Daily Pivot Point S3158.48
Daily Pivot Point R1162.13
Daily Pivot Point R2163.28
Daily Pivot Point R3163.96

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.