|

GBP/JPY steadies below 144 after fluctuating wildly on Brexit headlines

  • Bloomberg claims that Germany could drop critical Brexit demands.
  • German government spokesman denies claims.
  • Markit Services PMI beats expectations in the final reading.

After spending the majority of the day in a relatively tight range near the 143 mark, the GBP/JPY pair gathered strength in the early NA session and gained nearly 200 pips in less than an hour to touch its highest level in a week at 144.95. However, the pair reversed its course later in the day and retraced the majority of its daily upside. As of writing, the pair was trading at 143.94, up 0.46%, or 66 pips, on the day.

Citing sources familiar with the matter, Bloomberg reported that the British and German governments decided to abandon key Brexit demands to make it easier to reach a Brexit deal. The GBP recorded sharp gains against its major rivals on the back of this development and the GBP/USD raise more than 100 pips while the EUR/GBP lost more than 50 pips. However, a spokesman for the German government refuted these claims as he said that Germany's position had not changed on Brexit and they had full trust in the EU's Chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier.

Earlier in the day, the data released by the IHS Markit showed that the business activity in the UK's service sector expanded at a faster-than-expected rate in August with the PMI improving to 54.3 from 53.5 and surpassing the analysts' estimate of 53.9.

There won't be any significant macroeconomic data releases from the UK or Japan on Wednesday and Brexit headlines are likely to continue to dominate the pair's price action.

Technical levels to consider

The initial resistance for the pair aligns at 144.45 (50-DMA) ahead of 115 (psychological level/daily high) and 145.55 (100-DMA). On the downside, supports could be seen at 143.45 (Aug. 31 low), 142.65 (daily low) and 142 (psychological level).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).