|

GBP/JPY skids along the bottom, bears looking for 181.00

  • The GBP/JPY consolidated in the back half of Tuesday trading, pinned to the low side just above 181.00.
  • The Guppy is down from Tuesday's opening bids near 181.80.
  • Broader market risk appetite burst into flames on Tuesday, but Yen traders are leery ahead of Japan inflation figures.

The GBP/JPY is down nearly 80 pips heading into the Wednesday market session, with the Pound Sterling (GBP) continuing to flag against the Japanese Yen (JPY). The pair is down almost 1.3% from last week's peak, and in the red over 3.0% from August's peak of 186.77.

The mid-week is thin on the economic calendar for the Guppy, and traders will be looking ahead to Thursday's Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading on Thursday, which will be followed by Friday's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures for the UK.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is determined to see Japanese inflation remain above 2% in a meaningful way before stepping away from its hyper-easy monetary policy regime. Japanese interest rates are currently at -0.1%, and despite inflation being over the BoJ's 2% target, fears of an inflation collapse are plaguing the BoJ.

Investors will be keeping a close eye on Thursday's Tokyo CPI reading for September, which last printed at 2.9% for the annualized period into August.

Japan's Tokyo CPI data drops late Thursday at 23:30 GMT.

Friday will bring an end-of-week juggle for the GBP, with UK GDP figures in the pipe; laboring economic growth remains a key sticking point for the Bank of England (BoE), and UK GDP is forecast to hold steady at 0.2% for the second quarter.

GBP/JPY technical outlook

Intraday action for the GPB/JPY is decidedly bearish, with prices slumping away from the 34-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 181.40 and the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) well above current price action at 182.40.

Daily candlesticks see the Guppy on the downside as well, with the pair drifting into the 100-day SMA just above the 180.00 major handle. Despite recent bearish momentum, the GBP/JPY has soared in the medium-term and still remains almost 17% higher for the year.

Technical indicators are drifting into oversold territory thanks to the last six weeks' gradual decline, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is set to ping the lower boundary indicating overextended selling pressure.

GBP/JPY daily chart

GBP/JPY technical levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price181.18
Today Daily Change-0.62
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open181.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA20183.68
Daily SMA50183.27
Daily SMA100180.18
Daily SMA200171.31
 
Levels
Previous Daily High181.96
Previous Daily Low181.41
Previous Weekly High183.49
Previous Weekly Low180.82
Previous Monthly High186.77
Previous Monthly Low180.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%181.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%181.62
Daily Pivot Point S1181.49
Daily Pivot Point S2181.17
Daily Pivot Point S3180.94
Daily Pivot Point R1182.04
Daily Pivot Point R2182.27
Daily Pivot Point R3182.59

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1850 in quiet session

EUR/USD stays defensive but holds 1.1850 amid quiet markets in the European hours on Monday.  The US Dollar is struggling for direction due to thin liquidity conditions as US markets are closed in observance of Presidents' Day holiday. 

GBP/USD flat lines near 1.3650 ahead of UK and US data

GBP/USD kicks off a new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow range near 1.3650 on Monday. The mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders as the market focus now shifts to this week's important data releases from the UK and the US.

Gold corrects lower, tries to stabilize above $5,000

Gold started the week under bearish pressure and declined to the $4,960 area before staging a modest rebound. As trading volumes remain thin with the US financial markets remaining closed on Presidents' Day holiday, XAU/USD looks to stabilize above $5,000 ahead of this week's key data releases.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Monero Price Forecast: XMR risks a drop below $300 under mounting bearish pressure

Monero (XMR) starts the week under pressure, recording a 4% decline at press time on Monday after a 7% drop the previous day, putting the $300 support zone in focus.