|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Tumbles below 164.00, approaches the H4 head-and-shoulders target

  • GBP/JPY is set to finish the week with decent losses of 1.28%.
  • From a daily chart perspective, the cross-currency GBP/JPY shifted to neutral biased.
  • Short term, the GBP/JPY is about to hit 162.30. the head-and-shoulders target.

The GBP/JPY drops for the four consecutive trading session, down by 0.86% on Friday, after Wall Street finished the last trading day with losses between 0.45% and 0.90%, spurred by a dismal sentiment. In the FX complex, safe-haven peers rose, except for the greenback, which finished unchanged. At the time of writing, the GBP/JPY is trading at 163.24, as Wall Street’s close.

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a daily chart perspective, the GBP/JPY is neutral biased, after sliding below the 55-day EMA. It’s worth noting that the cross, tumbled below the August 17 daily low at 163.55, opening the door for further losses. Even though, the GBP/JPY reached a daily low at around 162.73 and failed to stick below 163.00, the bias shifted to neutral-downwards.

Short term, the GBP/JPY four-hour scale depicts the cross-currency pair formed a head-and-shoulders chart pattern, which targets a drop towards 162.30, as measured from head-to-the-neckline chart pattern. On Friday, the GBP/JPY tumbled from around 164.50, and reached a daily low at 162.73, shy of the target. Nevertheless, the GBP/JPY bias remain downwards, so it might reach the head-and-shoulders target, in the near term.

Therefore, the GBP/JPY first support would be the 163.00 psychological level. A breach of the latter will expose the September 16 cycle low at 162.73, followed by the head-and-shoulders target at 162.30.

GBP/JPY Key Technical Levels

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price163.24
Today Daily Change-1.32
Today Daily Change %-0.80
Today daily open164.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA20163.27
Daily SMA50163.28
Daily SMA100163.06
Daily SMA200159.99
 
Levels
Previous Daily High165.74
Previous Daily Low164.48
Previous Weekly High166.32
Previous Weekly Low160.66
Previous Monthly High163.99
Previous Monthly Low159.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%164.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%165.26
Daily Pivot Point S1164.12
Daily Pivot Point S2163.67
Daily Pivot Point S3162.86
Daily Pivot Point R1165.37
Daily Pivot Point R2166.18
Daily Pivot Point R3166.63

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold holds above $4,300 after setting yet another record high

Spot Gold traded as high as $4,550 a troy ounce on Monday, fueled by persistent US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. The XAU/USD pair was hit sharply by profit-taking during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).