GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Trims Thursday’s losses near the 181.60 area


  • GBP/JPY recovers some of its previous day's losses and holds above 181.60, up 0.24% for the day.
  • The immediate resistance emerges at 181.70; the critical support level to watch is at 181.00
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD are still located in bearish territory.

The GBP/JPY cross recovers its recent losses during the early Asian session on Friday. The cross currently trades around 181.62, gaining 0.24% for the day. A divergence in the monetary policy stance between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) acts as a tailwind for the GBP/JPY cross.

In its August policy meeting, the Bank of England (BoE) raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to a 15-year high of 5.25% from 5%. As inflation remains elevated, the markets anticipated that the BoE would likely increase interest rates twice more by the end of the year. On the other hand, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated last week that the central bank will not hesitate to ease policy further and that more time is required to achieve the 2% inflation target sustainably.

According to the four-hour chart, GBP/JPY’s immediate resistance emerges at 181.70 (the 50-hour EMA). Any meaningful follow-through buying could pave the way to the next hurdle at 182.50 (High of July 21) en route to 182.75 (High of August 3). Following that, GBP/JPY has room to test the additional upside filter at 183.20 (High of August 1).

On the downside, the critical support level to watch is at 181.00, the confluence of the psychological round mark and the low of August 3. A breach of the latter, further downside is expected. The next contention is seen at 180.45 (Low of August 3), followed by 179.75 (Low July 20). Further south, the cross will see a drop to 179.50 (Low of July 13).

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are still located in bearish territory, highlighting that further downside cannot be ruled out. 

GBP/JPY four-hour chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price 181.62
Today Daily Change 0.42
Today Daily Change % 0.23
Today daily open 181.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 181.4
Daily SMA50 179.78
Daily SMA100 173.38
Daily SMA200 168.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 182.77
Previous Daily Low 180.46
Previous Weekly High 182.35
Previous Weekly Low 176.32
Previous Monthly High 184.02
Previous Monthly Low 176.32
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 181.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 181.89
Daily Pivot Point S1 180.18
Daily Pivot Point S2 179.16
Daily Pivot Point S3 177.87
Daily Pivot Point R1 182.49
Daily Pivot Point R2 183.78
Daily Pivot Point R3 184.8

 

 

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