- GBP/JPY retreated towards the 181.00 area and cleared most of its weekly gains.
- Investors continue to digest BoE’s decision on Thursday.
- Governor Ueda committed that the BoJ will be more flexible with the 10-year JGB.
On Friday, the JPY traded mixed against most of its rivals, mainly because of Governor Ueda’s from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on widening the tolerance of the 10-year JGB. On the other hand, the GBP trades flat after the Bank of Englan monetary policy decision on Thursday.
The GBP traded mixed agains most of its rivals following Thursday’s BoE decision. Overall, rates were hiked by 25 basis points as expected. The bank no longer expects a recession but noted that the monetary policy is now “impacting " economic activity. Regarding inflation, the BoE forecasts the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be below 5% by year-end and below 2% by 2025. Still, the question to be asked is on whether the bank can achieve a significant drop in prices without a recession.
As for now, according to the World Interest Rates (WIRP) tool, markets are seeing 25 bps hikes in September and December, followed by an additional increase in Q1 of 2024 which would see the terminal rate at 5.75%.
On the Yen’s side, is Japanese currency seems to be gaining traction on the back of Bank of Japan (BoJ) comments which stated that the benchmark 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGB) will widen from 0.5% to 1.0%, which pushed Japanese yields to their highest levels since 2014. In that sense, markets may anticipate a potential pivot by the BoJ, but the Yen will remain vulnerable if the bank doesn’t take action.
GBP/JPY Levels to watch
Per the daily chart, the technical outlook for GBP/JPY is shifting towards neutral to bearish, with signs of bullish exhaustion becoming evident. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) displays a negative slope above its midline, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) exhibits negative red bars. Moreover, the pair is below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), but above the 100 and 200-day SMAs, indicating that the buyers still hold momentum on the bigger picture, dominating the sellers.
Support levels: 179.85, 179.00, 178.00.
Resistance levels: 181.25 (20-day SMA), 182.00, 183.00.
GBP/JPY Daily chart
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays near 1.0400 in thin holiday trading
EUR/USD trades with mild losses near 1.0400 on Tuesday. The expectation that the US Federal Reserve will deliver fewer rate cuts in 2025 provides some support for the US Dollar. Trading volumes are likely to remain low heading into the Christmas break.
GBP/USD struggles to find direction, holds steady near 1.2550
GBP/USD consolidates in a range at around 1.2550 on Tuesday after closing in negative territory on Monday. The US Dollar preserves its strength and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction as trading conditions thin out on Christmas Eve.
Gold holds above $2,600, bulls non-committed on hawkish Fed outlook
Gold trades in a narrow channel above $2,600 on Tuesday, albeit lacking strong follow-through buying. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears lend support to the safe-haven XAU/USD, while the Fed’s hawkish shift acts as a tailwind for the USD and caps the precious metal.
IRS says crypto staking should be taxed in response to lawsuit
In a filing on Monday, the US International Revenue Service stated that the rewards gotten from staking cryptocurrencies should be taxed, responding to a lawsuit from couple Joshua and Jessica Jarrett.
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?
As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.