|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Bears to restest the daily W-formation's neckline

  • GBP/JPY bears stepping in at key resistance.
  • GBP/JPY is in bearish conditions on the 1-hour chart.

GBP/JPY is offering a high probability trading setup on the daily and hourly time frames within a weekly bearish environment below key resistance.

The following is a topdown analysis that illustrates the conditions for which justifies the bearish bias. 

GBP/JPY weekly chart

The weekly outlook is bearish towards the prior resistance that would be expected to now act as support.

GBP/JPY daily chart

However, for the meantime, the daily chart's W-formation's neckline would be expected to be retested which creates an immediate trading opportunity on the short side from lower time frames.

The 1-hour time frame would be ideal.

Note, there is also a confluence of the neckline and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse. 

We had the same scenario on the weekly chart as follows:

A restest of the W-formation's neckline then resulted in an upside continuation. 

GBP/JPY 1-hour chart

From a 1-hour perspective, the opportunity arises on a restest of old support that would be expected to act as resistance from which bears can target the confluence of the neckline of the daily W-formation and a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. 

The trade set-up would be as follows for a 1:2 risk to reward:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.