GBP/JPY: Mildly offered below 186.00 on upbeat Japan data, pullback in yields ahead of UK PMI

• GBP/JPY extends Tuesday’s pullback from the highest level since November 2015, sluggish of late.
• Japan’s Jibun Bank PMIs improve for August, Treasury bond yields retreat from multi-year high.
• Market’s cautious optimism, consolidation ahead of the top-tier data prod pair traders.
• Fears of more pain for BoE and UK government exert downside pressure on prices ahead of British S&P Global/CIPS PMIs.

GBP/JPY holds lower grounds near 185.50 as it defends the previous day’s U-turn from the multi-year high after witnessing upbeat data from Japan, as well as a pullback in the Treasury bond yields, during the cautiously optimism markets on early Wednesday. However, the anxiety ahead of the August month Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) for the UK prods the cross-currency pair’s further downside.

Japan’s first reading of the Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI for August improves to 49.7 from 49.6, versus 49.5 expected, whereas the Services counterpart rose to 54.3 for the said month from 53.8 previous figures.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury bond yields keep the previous day’s retreat from the highest level since late 2007 to 4.31% by the press time whereas the yields of Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) struggle around the levels last seen in 2014.

It’s worth noting that the market’s cautious optimism, backed by likely improvement in the US-China ties and the anticipated rally in the Nikkei 225, also weighs on the GBP/JPY prices. Furthermore, the UK government’s record transfer to the Bank of England (BoE) to cover the losses made by the Quantitative Easing (QE) joins a jump in the British public debt to 95% to also exert downside pressure on the quote.

However, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda refrained from discussing the details of Tuesday’s meeting with Japan Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, which he termed a ‘routine’ one and keeps the Yen buyers hopeful. However, BoJ’s Kuroda did mention that he explained BoJ’s July policy decision to the PM.

Amid these plays, S&P500 Futures print mild gains and the stocks in the Asia-Pacific zone edged higher of late.

Moving on, the UK’s preliminary PMIs for August and geopolitical headlines will be crucial for fresh impulse. Above all, yield and this week’s Jackson Hole event are the key to a clear guide.

Technical analysis

A daily closing below the two-week-old rising support line, now immediate resistance near 186.10, directs GBP/JPY bears toward July’s peak surrounding 184.00.