|

GBP/JPY falls to 1-week low on softer UK CPI, finds some support near 147.00 mark

   •  UK headline/core CPI fall short of expectations and prompt some fresh GBP selling.
   •  Risk-on mood weighs on JPY’s safe-haven demand and helps limit further downside.

The GBP/JPY cross continued losing ground for the third consecutive session on Wednesday and dropped to one-week lows on softer UK consumer inflation figures.  

The cross extended this week's rejection slide from just ahead of the very important 200-day SMA and met with some fresh supply after the headline UK CPI fell short of consensus estimates, coming in at 2.4% y/y in June.

Adding to the disappointment, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices) arrived at 1.9%, down from 2.1% previous and dragged the cross farther from near eight-week tops set at the beginning of this week. 

Today's weaker inflation readings might have done little to fade prospects for an August BoE rate hike move and thus, helped limit further downside. This coupled with the prevalent risk-on mood, which tends to weigh on the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal, further assisted the cross to defend the 147.00 handle, at least for the time being. 

It would now be interesting to see if bears are able to maintain their dominant position or opt to lighten their positions, especially after the recent fall of around 225-pips from near eight-week tops set at the beginning of this week. 

Technical levels to watch

Weakness below the 147.00 mark is likely to get extended towards 146.70-65 horizontal zone en-route the 146.15-10 support area. On the flip side, the 147.70-80 region now seems to act as an immediate hurdle, above which the cross is likely to surpass the 148.00 handle and aim back towards testing 148.70 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.