|

FX Today: Markets thin as the new year rolls around

In forex today, markets have ground to a near-halt heading into the New Year's shutdown to round out the holidays, and although the latter half of this week could see an influx of fresh volumes into the broader markets, the fx marketspace remains tepid as investors take a step back and reassess their bets heading into 2019.

Major pairs remain firmly planted within recent ranges as Monday's action sees G10 currencies hobbled on paper-thin volumes; the EUR/USD pairing remains trapped near the high end of last week's range near 1.1450 and threatening to head lower to kick off 2019, while the Sterling-Dollar pairing continues to splash around just south of 1.2700, a key technical level that has seen the Cable restrained since Brexit proceedings seized up in early December. The USD/CAD pair continues to tick thinly into near-term highs near 1.2650 as slumping oil prices continue to pull the rug out from underneath the Candian Loonie, but anemic holiday markets are preventing any major market moves from unfolding.

In the Pacific-Asia sector, the Aussie is seeing some early-week pre-holiday bidding on reassurances that trade talks between the US and China are, in fact, progressing, but details remain thin and evidence of forward momentum remains trapped behind vague headlines and frequent trade-centric tweets from US President Donald Trump. The USD/JPY remains trapped near 110.50 as the Greenback holds near last week's low points, and a fresh round of capital to come later in the week could see a rebound for the pair, depending on how investors plan to grapple with US Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell's off-the-cuff approach to handling FOMC statements through 2019.

Key headlines from the Asian session: 

UK MPs set to delay Brexit if May's Brexit deal fails - UK's Telegraph

Goldman Sachs makes another cut to 2019 Fed rate hike forecast

China sees first manufacturing decline in 2.5 years - Reuters

Trump tweets from the weekend on China and trade

Fed head Powell set to give markets a rough ride in 2019 - Reuters

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.