|

Four profitable RV stocks to ride out recession

  • RV stocks like Winnebago and Thor Industries have already priced in the downturn.

  • LCI Industries also offers deep value and a market-beating yield.

  • Camping World is the best value and yield in the RV industry.

  • 5 stocks we like better than Winnebago Industries

The RV industry may not seem like the best choice for inflation-weary investors. Still, the story within the industry is one of sustained profitability, normalization, and dividends more than anything else. While the slowdown in RV business related to the pandemic-induced spike in demand is the focus of many, this news is so well-priced into the market that it no longer matters.

Instead, what matters now is that these highly undervalued dividend-paying stocks are trading at deep values and paying market-beating yields with distributions expected to grow in 2023.

Winnebago and Thor Industries cautious for 2023

Both Winnebago (NYSE:WGO) and Thor Industries (NYSE:THO) reported substantial calendar Q3 periods while also issuing cautious guidance for the coming year. The good news is that backlogs reached record proportions in 2021 and are sustaining a business while demand is slowing.

In addition, demand remains at “normalized” pre-pandemic levels, which means a soft landing is possible for this industry. In the case of Winnebago, its diversified model is also aiding the business. The company has successfully built out its marine division and grabbed market share.

These stocks are among the lowest yielding in the RV industry regarding dividends and capital returns, yet both pay above the broad market average.

Winnebago yields about 1.95%, with shares trading beard the bottom of a long-term trading range and above critical support, while Thor is the higher-yielding stock at 2.25%. In addition, both come with a degree of safety and an outlook for growth with payout ratios below 10% and balance sheets in healthy condition.

Chart

LCI Industries provided better value and yield

LCI Industries (NYSE: LCII) is among the best-positioned RV stocks with its exposure to OEM and aftermarkets and adjacent industries such as boating and general automotive. Its CQ3 results were mixed, with revenue falling short but earnings outperforming, but the takeaway is the same. Normalization of the RV business will do nothing to damage the dividend safety, and the dividend is attractive.

The stock is trading at 5.4X its earnings and offering one of the deepest values within this undervalued sector, and the yield qualifies as “high” at 4.45%. Regarding safety, the company is paying out a mere 35% of its 2023 consensus earnings estimate to easily sustain dividend increases.

“Our results continue to demonstrate the effectiveness of our diversification strategy, which has positioned Lippert to maintain strong performance during a downturn in RV demand.

During the third quarter, we delivered growth in adjacent markets and leveraged our flexible cost structure to support profitability as the RV industry adjusts to softened consumer demand and macroeconomic uncertainty,” commented Jason Lippert, LCI Industries’ President, and Chief Executive Officer.

LCI

10% yield? Pitch a tent with camping world

Camping World (NYSE: CWH) is a well-diversified RV stock with OEM and aftermarket business, the best value, and the highest yield. The 10% yield may be a red flag for most stocks, but not with this one.

Camping World is among the best-managed companies on the stock market and is in an excellent position to continue paying at the current level if not grow the distribution in 2023. Among the trends within the business is improving used RV and aftermarket sales which are helping to offset the slowdown in the new RV business.

“In this current environment, our Company is focused on growing our overall used RV business, strategic and opportunistic dealership acquisitions, and tightening SG&A and capital expenditures with precision,” said Marcus Lemonis, Chairman and CEO of Camping World Holdings, Inc.

CWH

Author

Jacob Wolinsky

Jacob Wolinsky is the founder of ValueWalk, a popular investment site. Prior to founding ValueWalk, Jacob worked as an equity analyst for value research firm and as a freelance writer. He lives in Passaic New Jersey with his wife and four children.

More from Jacob Wolinsky
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays weak near 1.1850 after dismal German ZEW data

EUR/USD remains in the red near 1.1850 in the European session on Tuesday. A broad US Dollar bullish consolidation combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD holds losees near 1.3600 after weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD is holding moderate losses near the 1.3600 level in Tuesday's European trading. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month. This narrative keeps the Pound Sterling under bearish pressure. 

Gold pares intraday losses; keeps the red above $4,900 amid receding safe-haven demand

Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and dives to over a one-week low, around the $4,858 area, heading into the European session on Tuesday. 

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.