Forex today witnessed a recovery in risk appetite, despite looming US-China trade concerns, as the renewed optimism on the Brexit deal and NAFTA lifted market sentiment. As a result, the safe-haven Yen was broadly sold-off, driving the USD/JPY pair closer towards 111.50 barrier while the Antipodeans attempted a tepid recovery, as the Aussie shrugged off a dip in the Australian NAB business confidence gauge. Moreover, the commodity-currencies also derived support from positive commodities’ prices and a risk-on rally seen in the Asian equity markets.
Meanwhile, the pound consolidated the overnight gains just under the 1.3050 level while the common currency wavered around the 1.16 handle. The Canadian dollar also traded firmer near 1.3150 versus its American counterpart amid ongoing NAFTA talks.
Main topics in Asia
US mulls China sanctions over Muslim abuses - The New York Times
North Korea's Kim looking for fresh Trump meeting - Reuters
Brexit could cost London billions - The UK Times
Fitch ratings affirm Singapore at 'AAA', outlook Stable
Japan’s Motegi: Japan, US have some differences in views on trade, but will try to resolve
Russia’s Novak: OPEC and allies can keep output quotas in place even after 2018
Asian stocks see gains, emerging markets remain shaky
BoJ seen willing to raise its ETF target if buying jumps a lot - Bloomberg
FT report: Tory Eurosceptics fail to agree on Brexit plan B
Key Focus ahead
Heading into Europe, markets eagerly await the release of the UK labor market report at 0830 GMT, as the Kingdom’s wage growth numbers remain the main focus, which is expected to inch higher to 2.8% in July versus 2.7% booked in June. Also, of relevance remains the German ZEW economic surveys that will be reported at 0900 GMT alongside the Eurozone ZEW surveys and employment data.
The NA session appears data-light, with the second-liner Canadian housing starts and the US JOLTS job openings due on the cards at 1215 GMT and 1400 GMT respectively. Meanwhile, markets will continue to take cues from the Brexit and trade-related developments for some trading impetus.
EUR/USD: 20-day MA support intact despite solid USD wage growth figure, eyes ZEW survey
The EUR looks set to gain altitude in the near-term. The rally could gather pace if the German ZEW survey indices, due for release at 09:00 GMT, beats estimates and ...
GBP/USD looking to firm up over 1.30 ahead of UK earnings
Pound bulls have been seizing on the good news and pumping up the GBP on Brexit hopes for the second time in two weeks, and Tuesday sees another iteration of the UK's q/y Average Earnings at 08:30 GMT.
Week ahead: volatility should remain elevated
It is going to be a busy week in the markets, particularly for the pound with the upcoming release of key UK economic data, BoE’s rate decision and perhaps more importantly Brexit-related headlines.
BOE to reiterate its "gradual and limited" rhetoric this Thursday - Barclays
Analysts at Barclays offer a sneak peek at what to expect from the Bank of England (BOE) monetary policy meeting due later on Thursday.
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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