The Japanese Yen was the weakest in Asia across the fx board today, as broad-based US dollar strength remained the underlying theme following Trump’s decision to pull out the US from Iran’s nuclear deal. Both crude benchmarks also benefited from the Iran deal fallout, having helped limit the downside in the commodity currencies. The Kiwi traded cautiously ahead of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) monetary policy decision due tomorrow.
The Asian equity markets traded mostly mixed, with the Japanese stocks the main laggard amid M & A news while markets digest the responses from Japan and China on the Trump’s decision.
Main topics in Asia
Mnuchin: Sanctions are effectively going in place 'immediately'
The US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin spoke about Iran sanctions following the US' withdrawal from the Iranian deal earlier.
Saudi energy minister: Saudi Arabia/OPEC will mitigate supply shocks
A Saudi energy minister spoke today to make a statement about energy prices and oil fluctuations.
Japanese real wages rise the first time in four months in March
The inflation-adjusted real wages in Japan rose for the first time in four months in March. boosting odds of higher consumer spending in coming months.
Brent crude oil futures rise to $76.74 - highest since Nov. 2014
Brent oil rose to $76.74 in Asia - the highest level since November 2014 as investors anticipate a significant tightening of the oil markets in the second half of this year, courtesy of Iran deal fallout.
RBNZ: Format of monetary policy statement has been updated
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand came out with a statement on Wednesday, announcing that the central bank has revised the format of the monetary policy statement.
Japan’s Suga: The US withdrawal from Iran deal is very regrettable
Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Yoshihide Suga was on the wires last minutes, via Reuters, noting that the US withdrawal from Iran deal is very regrettable.
Key Focus ahead
Today macro calendar is absolutely quiet for Europe, with nothing significant slated for release while markets will continue to track the USD dynamics and developments surrounding the Italian politics. Moving, the NA session offers the Canadian building permits and US PPI data ahead of the US Energy Information Administration (US) weekly crude inventories data release, which will keep the CAD and oil traders on the edge.
EUR/USD: Bearish setup intact, Italy repeat election is a risk to the EUR
The EUR/USD pair looks oversold as per the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) and a minor corrective rally looks overdue if we take into account a bullish RSI divergence seen in the 4-hour chart.
GBP/USD clattering against the bottom as Thursday's BoE action looms
The Sterling has fallen against the resurgent US Dollar for three consecutive trading weeks, tumbling almost 6%. This week's focus has turned to Super Thursday, with the BoE introducing their latest rate call and a speech from the BoE's head, Mark Carney.
Oil markets had an extremely volatile session, and predictably volumes soared causing clearing delays. So, what’s next? More volatility of course!!
BoE to keep rates unchanged - Reuters Poll
The Bank of England (BoE) is now expected to keep rates unchanged at their next meeting, according to poll results from Reuters.
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EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data
Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar
Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700
Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.
Geopolitics back on the radar
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Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
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