|

Forex Today: Markets stabilize as trading volume thins out on Easter Friday

Here is what you need to know on Friday, April 18:

Major currency pairs stay quiet on Friday as trading volumes thin out, with major markets remaining closed in observance of the Easter Holiday. The economic calendar will not offer any high-tier data releases, paving the way for subdued market action heading into the weekend.

US Dollar PRICE This month

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this month. US Dollar was the weakest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-4.95%-2.70%-5.05%-3.80%-2.07%-4.94%-7.45%
EUR4.95%2.39%-0.16%1.15%2.82%-0.05%-2.68%
GBP2.70%-2.39%-2.49%-1.22%0.41%-2.39%-4.96%
JPY5.05%0.16%2.49%1.32%3.17%0.77%-2.54%
CAD3.80%-1.15%1.22%-1.32%1.71%-1.18%-3.79%
AUD2.07%-2.82%-0.41%-3.17%-1.71%-2.79%-5.35%
NZD4.94%0.05%2.39%-0.77%1.18%2.79%-2.64%
CHF7.45%2.68%4.96%2.54%3.79%5.35%2.64%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it lowered key rates by 25 basis points (bps) following the April policy meeting, as widely anticipated. In the post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the next policy move but acknowledged that the Eurozone's economic outlook is clouded by uncertainty. EUR/USD edged lower following the ECB event and ended the day in negative territory. Early Friday, the pair fluctuates in a tight channel above 1.1350.

The data from the US showed on Thursday that weekly Initial Jobless Claims declined to 215,000 from 224,000 in the previous week. Meanwhile, US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that China has reached out to his administration to talk on tariffs and added that he think they will make a deal with China. The US Dollar (USD) Index closed marginally higher and stabilized at around 99.50 early Friday.

After gaining more than 3% on Wednesday, Gold continued to push higher in the Asian session on Thursday and reached a new record-high of $3,357. In the second half of the day, XAU/USD corrected lower, possibly because of profit-taking, and settled at $3,327 for the week.

GBP/USD closed in positive territory on Thursday and stretched higher toward 1.3280 before entering a consolidation phase.

USD/JPY trades in a narrow band below 142.50 on Friday and remains on track to post losses for the third consecutive week. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda repeated on Friday that they will keep raising interest rates if underlying inflation accelerates toward the 2% target.

Tariffs FAQs

Tariffs are customs duties levied on certain merchandise imports or a category of products. Tariffs are designed to help local producers and manufacturers be more competitive in the market by providing a price advantage over similar goods that can be imported. Tariffs are widely used as tools of protectionism, along with trade barriers and import quotas.

Although tariffs and taxes both generate government revenue to fund public goods and services, they have several distinctions. Tariffs are prepaid at the port of entry, while taxes are paid at the time of purchase. Taxes are imposed on individual taxpayers and businesses, while tariffs are paid by importers.

There are two schools of thought among economists regarding the usage of tariffs. While some argue that tariffs are necessary to protect domestic industries and address trade imbalances, others see them as a harmful tool that could potentially drive prices higher over the long term and lead to a damaging trade war by encouraging tit-for-tat tariffs.

During the run-up to the presidential election in November 2024, Donald Trump made it clear that he intends to use tariffs to support the US economy and American producers. In 2024, Mexico, China and Canada accounted for 42% of total US imports. In this period, Mexico stood out as the top exporter with $466.6 billion, according to the US Census Bureau. Hence, Trump wants to focus on these three nations when imposing tariffs. He also plans to use the revenue generated through tariffs to lower personal income taxes.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.