The key report for the week will be on Tuesday with the US Consumer Price Index. Additionally, more US inflation data is scheduled for Wednesday with the Producer Price Index. The Eurozone will report GDP growth, and the UK will release employment and inflation data. Australia will also release jobs data. The bond market and geopolitics will continue to be important factors influencing the market.
Here is what you need to know for next week:
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose during the five days of the week, but it was not enough to completely erase last week's losses. A correction and Powell's comments helped the Greenback, which was not affected by signs of gradual loosening in the labor market. With the US economy outperforming the Euro area, the slide of the US Dollar is poised to be limited. The DXY climbed from six-week lows under 105.00 towards 106.00.
Next week, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Tuesday and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Wednesday will be closely watched. A surprise here has the potential to be a game changer.
The bond market will remain in focus. A weak 30-year Treasury auction triggered sharp moves, as did Federal Reserve Chair Powell's comments. The rebound in yields could signal the end of the bond rally that started in October.
European Central Bank (ECB) officials offered different perspectives on the future. In the near term, the ECB is not expected to raise rates further, and the debate is about when they will start cutting rates amid a negative economic outlook. Eurostat will release employment and growth data on Tuesday.
EUR/USD failed to hold above 1.0700 and pulled back, finding support above 1.0650. The pair offers mixed signals. The upside faces a strong barrier around 1.0800, which includes the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA).
The Pound was affected by dovish comments from Bank of England (BoE) officials. Growth data from the third quarter came in above expectations, but only to shows the economy stagnating. Next week, the UK will report employment on Tuesday and inflation on Wednesday. These numbers will be critical ahead of the next BoE meeting on December 14. GBP/USD retreated to the 20-day SMA around the 1.2200 area, which is a crucial support. A break lower would clear the way for more losses. EUR/GBP posted the highest weekly close since April, around 0.8735.
USD/JPY rose above 151.50 and posted the highest weekly close since 1990. The pair trades at levels compatible with intervention from Japanese authorities.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked interest rates by 25 basis points, but it was a dovish hike as it signaled that the tightening cycle is over and weighed on the Australian Dollar. Australian yields dropped during the week based on guidance offered by the central bank. On Wednesday, the Q3 Wage Price Index will be released, followed by the employment report on Thursday. The Aussie was the worst performer among majors. AUD/USD erased most of last week's gains, retreating from the 20-week SMA after being unable to hold above the 0.6500 zone.
NZD/USD pulled back from the 20-week SMA to levels below 0.5900. Consolidation under 0.5850 would expose 2023 lows. The New Zealand Q3 Producer Price Index is due on Friday.
The Chilean Peso was among the biggest losers during the week, with USD/CLP rising from 880.00 to 920.00 after the annual inflation rate in Chile dropped to 5%, increasing expectations of more monetary policy easing.
Crude oil prices fell for the third week in a row due to demand concerns. WTI dropped from above $80.00 and bottomed slightly under $75.00, settling around $77.50.
Gold experienced a significant decline, losing over $50 during the week and dropping to $1,934. This drop can be attributed to higher yields and a stronger Dollar. Similarly, Silver faced resistance around the $23.00 level and subsequently fell to $22.20, marking its lowest close since early October.
Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD drops to two-year lows below 1.0400 after weak PMI data
EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its weakest level in nearly two years below 1.0400. The data from Germany and the Eurozone showed that the business activity in the private sector contracted in early November, weighing on the Euro.
GBP/USD falls to six-month lows below 1.2550, eyes on US PMI
GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session and trades at a fresh fix-month low below 1.2550 on Friday. Disappointing PMI data from the UK weigh on Pound Sterling as market focus shift to US PMI data releases.
Gold price refreshes two-week high, looks to build on momentum beyond $2,700 mark
Gold price hits a fresh two-week top during the first half of the European session on Friday, with bulls now looking to build on the momentum further beyond the $2,700 mark. This marks the fifth successive day of a positive move and is fueled by the global flight to safety amid persistent geopolitical tensions stemming from the intensifying Russia-Ukraine war.
S&P Global PMIs set to signal US economy continued to expand in November
The S&P Global preliminary PMIs for November are likely to show little variation from the October final readings. Markets are undecided on whether the Federal Reserve will lower the policy rate again in December.
A new horizon: The economic outlook in a new leadership and policy era
The economic aftershocks of the COVID pandemic, which have dominated the economic landscape over the past few years, are steadily dissipating. These pandemic-induced economic effects are set to be largely supplanted by economic policy changes that are on the horizon in the United States.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.