|

Forex Today: Dollar’s rally continues and is far from over

What you need to know on Thursday, November 25:

Demand for the greenback persisted after a batch of US data hinted at stubbornly high inflationary pressures and soon-to-come Federal Reserve action to counter its effects on the economy.

On Wednesday, market participants knew that US inflation soared to its highest in 30-years in October, according to the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index report. Also, the FOMC published the Minutes of its November meeting. The document showed that policymakers believe they should be prepared to adjust the pace of the asset purchases tapering and raise the target range for the federal funds rate sooner than currently anticipated should inflation continue to run hot. Still, the market’s reaction was quite limited as there were no surprises in the statement.

The EUR/USD pair trades below the 1.1200 figure, hit by local data and ECB’s inaction. Germany published the November IFO survey, which showed that the Business Climate contracted to 96.5, falling for a fifth consecutive month, while Germany published the November IFO survey, which showed that the Business Climate contracted to 96.5, falling for a fifth consecutive month noted that the central bank   must not tighten monetary policy too early in response to an inflation spike driven by “purely temporary factors.”

Another factor hitting the EUR and the market’s mood, in general, is the resurgent spread of coronavirus in Europe. Several countries are taking fresh restrictive measures and studying making vaccines mandatory.  

GBP/USD came under renewed bearish pressure and dropped to the current 1.3320 region.  Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Silvana Tenreyro said on Wednesday that she would not want to say specifically if the BOE would make its first rate hike in either December or February. Instead, she prefers a “modest” tightening of the monetary policy.

The USD/JPY pair reached a fresh 2021 high of 115.51, holding nearby at the end of the day. Commodity-linked currencies shed ground unevenly, with AUD/USD now trading below 0.7200 and USD/CAD at around 1.2670.

Global stocks traded in a dull fashion, with European and American indexes mixed around their opening levels.

US Treasury yields are ending the day with modest losses. Nevertheless, the yield on the 10-year note peaked at 1.693%, retreating from the critical 1.70% threshold.

Gold is modestly lower on a daily basis, now trading around $1,785 a troy ounce. Crude oil prices eased modestly, with WTI currently at $78.25 a barrel.

Bitcoin could dodge a steep correction if BTC holds above this price level


Like this article? Help us with some feedback by answering this survey:

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD resumes the downtrend, back to the low-1.3600s

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s decent advance, refocusing on the downside and retreating to the 1.3630 region at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, the British Pound is expected to remain under the microscope ahead of the release of the key UK labour market report on Tuesday.

Gold looks inconclusive around $5,000

Gold partially fades Friday’s strong recovery, orbiting around the key $5,000 region per troy ounce in a context of humble gains in the Greenback on Monday. Additing to the vacillating mood, trade conditions remain thin amid the observance of the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.