Forex Today: Dollar regains strength as markets turn cautious


Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 11:

On Thursday, the greenback regathered its strength on risk aversion and hot inflation data, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) snapped a two-day losing streak. Investors seem to have turned cautious early Friday after foreign ministers of Russia and Ukraine failed to make progress on a ceasefire. Later in the day, the University of Michigan's preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index for March will be the only data featured in the US economic docket. Statistics Canada will release the February jobs report as well.

Following the meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart Dmytro Kuleba, Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov said that they had already presented Russia's conditions to end the conflict and reiterated that they want Ukraine to be neutral. In response, "we cannot stop the war if the country that started the aggression has no desire to do so," Kuleba said. Meanwhile, the UK's defence minister said on Friday that Russia was likely to re-posture its forces for renewed offensive activity in the coming days.

The S&P 500 Index lost 0.43% on Thursday and the DXY gained more than 0.5%. In the early European session, US stock index futures are trading flat.

The European Central Bank (ECB) announced on Thursday that it left the key rates unchanged as expected. On a surprising note, the bank said it will end the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) in the third quarter rather than at the end of the year as originally planned. The initial reaction to this decision provided a boost to the shared currency but ECB President Christine Lagarde's cautious comments on the economic outlook and inflation caused the euro to lose interest.

After advancing to a weekly high above 1.1100 on Thursday, EUR/USD lost its traction and closed deep in negative territory. The pair is staying relatively calm near 1.1000 early Friday. The data from Germany showed that the annual Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices was 5.5% in February, matching the flash estimate. 

GBP/USD touched its lowest level since November at 1.3071 on Friday before staging a recovery toward 1.3100. The UK's Office for National Statistics announced on Friday that the UK economy expanded by 0.8% on a monthly basis in January, compared to the market expectation of 0.2%.

Despite the risk-averse market environment, gold failed to gather bullish momentum on Thursday and came under renewed bearish pressure on Friday. Rising US Treasury bond yields after the hot US inflation data seem to be weighing on XAU/USD, which was last losing 0.7% on a daily basis at $1,982, ahead of the weekend.

USD/CAD registered losses in the previous two days and stays flat below 1.2800 early Friday. The Unemployment Rate in Canada is expected to decline to 6.2% in February from 6.5% in January.

Bitcoin lost 6% on Thursday and stays on the back foot ahead early Friday. BTC/USD was last seen losing nearly 1% on a daily basis at $39,100. Ethereum extends its slide toward $2,500 after losing more than 4% on Thursday. 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.0400 in quiet trading

EUR/USD holds above 1.0400 in quiet trading

EUR/USD trades marginally higher above 1.0400 in the second half of the day on Friday. The absence of fundamental drivers and thin trading conditions on the holiday-shortened week make it difficult for the pair to gather directional momentum.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD recovers to 1.2550 area following earlier decline

GBP/USD recovers to 1.2550 area following earlier decline

GBP/USD regains its traction and trades in positive territory near 1.2550 after declining toward 1.2500 earlier in the day. Nevertheless, the cautious market mood limits the pair's upside as trading volumes remain low following the Christmas break.

GBP/USD News
Gold struggles to build on weekly gains, holds above $2,620

Gold struggles to build on weekly gains, holds above $2,620

Gold enters a consolidation phase and trades below $2,630 on Friday after posting modest gains on Thursday. The risk-averse market atmosphere helps XAU/USD limit its losses as investors refrain from taking large positions heading into the end of the holiday-shortened week.

Gold News
Bitcoin misses Santa rally even as on-chain metrics show signs of price recovery

Bitcoin misses Santa rally even as on-chain metrics show signs of price recovery

Bitcoin (BTC) price hovers around $97,000 on Friday, erasing most of the gains from earlier this week, as the largest cryptocurrency missed the so-called Santa Claus rally, the increase in prices prior to and immediately following Christmas Day. 

 

Read more
2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

2025 outlook: What is next for developed economies and currencies?

As the door closes in 2024, and while the year feels like it has passed in the blink of an eye, a lot has happened. If I had to summarise it all in four words, it would be: ‘a year of surprises’.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures