Forex today: Dollar makes a score through the 97 handle as traders return to weigh up the week ahead


  • With just a few days left to go in November, Forex today was centred around a focus for the final week's of trading for the year, with investors and traders returning from the Thanksgiving weekend to plenty of risks that lie ahead for the month of December. 

There was a sense of optimism in the markets, despite the risks in the G20 summit, Brexit, the price of oil down some 25% and US indexes below 2017 closing levels. 

There was a little for everyone from the mixed performances on Monday across equity, commodities and in the FX space with a lack of direction or commitment from either bears nor the bulls. However, Asia's improved equity mood continued in Europe and US trade. ECB's Draghi remained optimistic about Eurozone growth and inflation and Italy rallied on budget hopes, as analysts at Westpac noted. However, Draghi was also noting the deteriorating economic performance of the eurozone and global trade alliances and was not particularly convincing with respect to cemented timings of a taper, although slated December remains likely. 

Meanwhile, the dollar was making a steady climb in North America as favoured amongst a bad bunch considering the wealth of overseas negative factors and uncertainty. The DXY managed a score back onto the 97 handle while the US 10yr treasury yield climbed from 3.05% to 3.09%, and the 2yr yields morphed into a slightly lower range of 2.82%-2.84%. As far as Fed sentiment went, ahead of a number of key Fed speakers for the week ahead, including Powell on Wednesday, the Fed fund futures repriced the chance of the next rate hike on 19 December at 80% (from 75%).

Currency action

Analysts at Westpac offered a wrap of the action from currencies overnight: "EUR/USD round-tripped from 1.1330 to 1.1385 and back. ECB speakers, notably Chief Economist Praet and President Draghi, noted the moderation in recent data had been deeper than expected and that uncertainties such as protectionism had risen. Nevertheless, they maintained their view that the economy was still in line with their projections and their bond purchases are set to end in December. However, the moderation means that the ECB will maintain significant monetary stimulus."

"NZD/USD similarly traced 0.6780 to 0.6815 and back. AUD/NZD slipped from 1.0685 to 1.0655, despite the improved risk sentiment."

"AUD/USD followed the broad USD swings, rallying from 0.7230 in the Sydney afternoon to around 0.7275 in the London morning, then back to 0.7230 by early Sydney trade Tuesday. There was no apparent correlation with the ongoing slide in iron ore prices, with the benchmark spot price in China printing -6.8% at $64.45/tonne, a low since July and Dalian futures settling -2.1%."

"USD/JPY, however, found clear direction, rising from 112.90 in the Sydney morning to 113.60 late NY, supported by the rise in equity markets and US bond yields."

Key events from US session:

There are no key events slated for Asia today.

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD: The hunt for the 0.7000 hurdle

AUD/USD: The hunt for the 0.7000 hurdle

AUD/USD quickly left behind Wednesday’s strong pullback and rose markedly past the 0.6900 barrier on Thursday, boosted by news of fresh stimulus in China as well as renewed weakness in the US Dollar.

AUD/USD News
EUR/USD refocuses its attention to 1.1200 and above

EUR/USD refocuses its attention to 1.1200 and above

Rising appetite for the risk-associated assets, the offered stance in the Greenback and Chinese stimulus all contributed to the resurgence of the upside momentum in EUR/USD, which managed to retest the 1.1190 zone on Thursday.

EUR/USD News
Gold holding at higher ground at around $2,670

Gold holding at higher ground at around $2,670

Gold breaks to new high of $2,673 on Thursday. Falling interest rates globally, intensifying geopolitical conflicts and heightened Fed easing bets are the main factors. 

Gold News
Bitcoin displays bullish signals amid supportive macroeconomic developments and growing institutional demand

Bitcoin displays bullish signals amid supportive macroeconomic developments and growing institutional demand

Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly up, around $64,000 on Thursday, following a rejection from the upper consolidation level of $64,700 the previous day. BTC’s price has been consolidating between $62,000 and $64,700 for the past week.

Read more
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures

The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.

Read more
Five best Forex brokers in 2024

Five best Forex brokers in 2024

VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals. 

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures