|

Forex Today: Dollar extends gains amid rising yields, coronavirus developments eyed

Here is what you need to know on Monday, January 11:

The market mood has soured after US Nonfarm Payrolls showed the first job loss since last spring and the Federal Reserve is reluctant to act. The dollar is rising alongside Treasury yields. Coronavirus continues raging while vaccine distribution has yet to ramp up. Bitcoin and gold are on the back foot.

America's labor market shed 140,000 positions in December, worse than expected, yet it was partially offset by upward revisions and an increase in wages. The highlight of this week's economic calendar is US Retail Sales. 

Richard Clarida, Vice-Chairman of the Federal Reserve, seemed reluctant to expand the bank's bond-buying scheme. Fed officials seem to look through the current hardship and look toward the vaccine deployment and the recovery. His comments prompted further selling of bonds, boosting their yields and supporting the dollar. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is slated to speak on Thursday. 

Gold, which rose in response to the "blue wave" is down as returns on US debt rise, licking its wounds below $1,844. 

The greenback had already been on the rise beforehand, in response to Democrats won control of the Senate and are keen on providing generous stimulus to the economy. President-elect Joe Biden is set to lay out his economic agenda on Thursday. 

Outgoing President Donald Trump is facing a potential second impeachment after his supporters stormed the Capitol last week. Twitter and Facebook permanently suspended Trump's accounts, accusing him of inciting violence. The political drama in Washington has had little effect on markets. 

COVID-19 infections, deaths, and hospitalizaitnos continue rising in the US and Europe. The UK is considering further restrictions as hospitals in London are under immense pressure. Governments are under growing pressure to ramp their vaccination campaigns, especially in continental Europe where immunizations reached less than 1% of the population. 

Coronavirus: Statistics, herd immunity, vaccine calendar and impact on financial markets and currencies

Bitcoin has been suffering a sell-off, trading around $32,000 after nearing $42,000 last week. Ethereum is also off the highs. 

Bitcoin Price Forecast 2021: BTC reaching new horizons, aiming for $100,000

The Fed's Raphael Bostic and the BOE's Silvana Tenreyro speak during the day.

Five factors moving the US dollar in 2021 and not necessarily to the downside

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.