Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 1:
The US Dollar (USD) struggles to find demand at the beginning of the third quarter as investors adjust their positions ahead of this week's key macroeconomic events and data releases. Later in the session, preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for June from Germany will be watched closely by investors. The ISM Manufacturing PMI for June and Construction Spending data for May will be featured in the US economic calendar.
US Dollar PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the Euro.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.45% | -0.23% | 0.16% | 0.00% | -0.08% | -0.08% | 0.11% | |
| EUR | 0.45% | -0.01% | 0.31% | 0.15% | 0.25% | 0.05% | 0.25% | |
| GBP | 0.23% | 0.01% | 0.29% | 0.16% | 0.26% | 0.07% | 0.26% | |
| JPY | -0.16% | -0.31% | -0.29% | -0.15% | -0.18% | -0.24% | -0.03% | |
| CAD | -0.01% | -0.15% | -0.16% | 0.15% | -0.05% | -0.09% | 0.10% | |
| AUD | 0.08% | -0.25% | -0.26% | 0.18% | 0.05% | -0.20% | 0.07% | |
| NZD | 0.08% | -0.05% | -0.07% | 0.24% | 0.09% | 0.20% | 0.21% | |
| CHF | -0.11% | -0.25% | -0.26% | 0.03% | -0.10% | -0.07% | -0.21% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Friday that the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) preferred gauge of inflation, rose 2.6% on a yearly basis in May. On a monthly basis, the PCE Price Index remained unchanged. These readings matched analysts' estimates and the USD Index closed the last trading day of the second quarter in negative territory on Friday. Early Monday, the USD Index continues to push lower and was last seen fluctuating deep in negative territory near 105.50. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield holds steady at around 4.4% and US stock index futures gain between 0.25% and 0.4% in the early European session.
France held the first round of parliamentary election on Sunday. Exit polls showed that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) party won around 34% of the vote, ahead of the left-wing coalition New Popular Front (NFP) and President Emmanuel Macron's Together alliance, which are projected to receive 29% and 20.5%-23% of the vote, respectively, according to Reuters. The second round of election will take place on July 7. EUR/USD started the week on a bullish note and was last seen gaining about 0.5% on the day at 1.0770.
GBP/USD benefits from the selling pressure surrounding the USD and rises toward 1.2700 after closing the previous week virtually unchanged.
AUD/USD started the week with a bullish gap but struggled to gather momentum. After edging higher toward 0.6700, AUD/USD lost its traction and was last seen trading flat on the day at around 0.6670.
USD/JPY fluctuates in a tight range near 161.00 in the European morning on Monday. On Friday, the pair touched a multi-decade high near 161.30 but retreated afterward, with investors refraining from betting on further Japanese Yen weakness amid risk of intervention.
Economic Indicator
ISM Manufacturing PMI
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), released on a monthly basis, is a leading indicator gauging business activity in the US manufacturing sector. The indicator is obtained from a survey of manufacturing supply executives based on information they have collected within their respective organizations. Survey responses reflect the change, if any, in the current month compared to the previous month. A reading above 50 indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding, a bullish sign for the US Dollar (USD). A reading below 50 signals that factory activity is generally declining, which is seen as bearish for USD.
Read more.Last release: Mon Jun 03, 2024 14:00
Frequency: Monthly
Actual: 48.7
Consensus: 49.6
Previous: 49.2
Source: Institute for Supply Management
The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) provides a reliable outlook on the state of the US manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 suggests that the business activity expanded during the survey period and vice versa. PMIs are considered to be leading indicators and could signal a shift in the economic cycle. Stronger-than-expected prints usually have a positive impact on the USD. In addition to the headline PMI, the Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index numbers are watched closely as they shine a light on the labour market and inflation.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD stays firm above 1.0750, awaits German inflation data
EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0750 in European trading on Monday. The Euro capitalizes on France's far-right National Rally (RN) party win in the first round of elections while the US Dollar stays offered on renewed Fed rate cut bets. The focus stays on German inflation and US PMIs.
GBP/USD consolidates gains below 1.2700, as US PMIs loom
GBP/USD consolidates the upside below 1.2700 in the European session on Monday. The US Dollar remains weighed down by dovish Fed expectations and the EUR/USD upsurge, keeping the pair supported ahead of the US ISM PMI data.
Gold price struggles for a firm intraday direction ahead of US PMI data
Gold price oscillates in a narrow trading band on Monday amid mixed fundamental cues. Rising bets for a September Fed rate cut weigh on the USD and lend support to the metal.
Bitcoin is breaking above the falling wedge
Bitcoin breaking above the falling wedge pattern on Monday signals a bullish move, with Ethereum and Ripple poised to follow as they find support at key levels, paving the way for an upside rally in the days ahead.
Significant month for US stock markets and currencies
This month sees important time cycles across a range of instruments suggesting that we are at a major pivot point. In this video we look at the significant turning point coming out very shortly on the S&P 500 that will also impact the other US indices.